JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/29/21

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Ben Clemens

3:20

I don't think anyone wants to have the lockout end on Jan 30 and then figure out where they're playing after that

And teams kind of seem to be in the same position, which surprises me

3:21

Look, if you're Marcus Semien or Kevin Gausman, I don't think these offers were going to magically go up if you waited until after the lockout

Certainty for both sides makes sense if you don't think this CBA is going to be firmament-shattering

TomBruno23

3:21

5/115 for Ray per Heyman

Ben Clemens

3:22

With an opt out after three years

THAT is the kind of opt out I like

If Ray is for real, he's opting out after year three and getting another big deal

Thomas

3:22

Guys... should we have a lockout every year? This has been so much fun

Ben Clemens

3:22

After this article, I'm off to write 75 free agent signing reactions

But other than that yeah it's been a blast

Guest

3:22

The Rangers are making a push for Seager. If they land him (after already signing Gray, Semien, and Calhoun), where do they slot amongst the AL West teams in chances of winning the division?

Ben Clemens

3:22

Um.... fourth?

3:23

There are just a lot of holes there

Their pitching staff is like.... 'Gray and Dunning and pray for rainouts for three days running'

3:25

I'm not against them adding here but even Seager is goin to leave them projected for about the same WAR as Oakland and a little behind Seattle, and that's with Seattle not adding anyone after Ray

Oakland is tearing down, so I'll give Texas the edge, but that still leaves Houston and LAA

And would it shock anyone if Oakland did a sideways teardown and kept being somewhat good?

5 Run Homer

3:26

Ray signing the exact same deal as Gausman but for $1 mil more in AAV is very funny to me

Ben Clemens

3:26

Oh, Ray's deal is way better

Opt outs are valuable for 30-year-old pitchers

But the numbers being so similar is indeed really funny

Robbie

3:26

If Angels miss out on stroman do you think they pivot to a SS and dangle marsh/Adell for a starter?

Ben Clemens

3:26

Ugh, they might??

I don't like that for them but there's exactly one top line starter left

Two if you like ROdon

5 Run Homer

3:27

I thought I saw that Gausman had an opt-out?

Ben Clemens

3:27

I haven't seen that reported, but the deal doesn't appear to be official yet so maybe

will

3:28

Is Ray the Mariners big add this offseason or do you think they'll still be in on Bryant?

Ben Clemens

3:28

I think they will be in on Bryant

I don't know if they'll win the bidding

But I think there's room to add another hitter of some note

This is fun, we're basically live tweeting new signings

TomBruno23

3:29

If Rodon is a top line starter then so is Kershaw.

Ben Clemens

3:29

Oh sure!

I just have mentally penciled him in for the Dodgers

Porkchop

3:29

Is my undying love of baseball healthy?

Ben Clemens

3:29

It depends on how you express it

3:30

I think mine is, for example, because it feeds my love of analyzing things and solving puzzles

I also just LOVE the relaxation of basebal

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