JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 12/12/22

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EonADS

2:58

Given the insane asking price for Reynolds, do we actually see a trade this offseason? I know he asked out, but it's not like he has NBA-like leverage where he can sit out and screw the team. And the Pirates aren't good enough for that anyway.

Ben Clemens

2:58

I sure don't

Sorry, I sure don't think we'll see one

2:59

Their ask is just really high

Mr. Burrito

2:59

It feels like salaries a taking a higher-than-typical jump this winter, both in AAV and length of contract. Does that reflect a concentrated pool of good FAs, or do teams have that much more money to spend? Also, do you think this will hold again next year?

Ben Clemens

3:00

Eh, maybe it has a tiny bit to do with those two things, it also has a lot to do with salaries stagnating over the past few years while salaries exploded, the new CBA being in place giving owners more cost certainty, and huge inflation in the economy overall

If you don't think ticket prices are going up next year, you've got another thing coming

Danboy McGraw

3:01

Should the Red Sox try and get Devers to sign a $250 mil+ deal before he also bolts?

Ben Clemens

3:02

They should! I don't think they will

O’stradamus

3:02

If you had to pick one pre arb eligibility guy to start a Franchise with who would it be and why?

Ben Clemens

3:02

I guess I can't count Julio anymore given his extension

Given that.... Adley

Did Chewbacca use TP?

3:02

If Mike Trout was a FA this offseason, what would he receive, given his health issues but decent rebound last season? Would he get $300M?

Ben Clemens

3:04

Yeah, I think that's reasonable for the 8 years. Maybe a hair more? I think I'd prefer to sign Judge to Trout just given Trout's health but it's close, and Judge did better than that, albeit in my opinion with a New York boost

Jeremy

3:04

Did the Giants and Red Sox just misread the free agent market this year? At some point, unwillingness to pay the going rate in free agency doesn't make you smarter than everybody else, it just means you've decided not to sign any good free agents. That's still true even if the amount you're willing to pay *would've* made you smarter than everyone else in the free agent markets of recent years.

Ben Clemens

3:05

It can be a little bit of both, but particularly in the Sox's case, they just aren't willing to spend, it seems like

It's not like up until this year they were just signing players hand over fist, they traded Betts rather than try to retain him and seemingly didn't make Bogaerts many competitive offers

3:06

We'll see what pans out with the Correa market but I don't get that sense from the Giants just yet. They went pretty hard after Judge. The Sox missed by like 100 million

on Bogaerts

Nova

3:07

Can a Cruz - Volpe trade be balanced with lessor prospects or do both the Pirates and the Yankees value their internal shortstop relatively higher than other teams value them?

Ben Clemens

3:07

Yeah, why would these teams make this trade?

I just don't get it

3:08

I never get trades like this that get suggested. The last time this happened was Chisholm/Gallen, the last time this happened at hte same position is, as best as I can remember, never

3:09

like it sounds fun, but why?

namiki

3:09

It seems that Koh Senga is coming from NPB(Japan).
Senga is one of the best pitchers in NPB, but is there any possibility of a decrease in Stuff due to the change of ball between leagues?

Ben Clemens

3:09

Definitely yes, particularly breaking pitches

M’s Fan

3:10

Best right handed hitting corner OF available still in FA market… Myers? Profar (S)?

Ben Clemens

3:10

Profar is not a good righty hitter

I think it's Myers, yeah

3:11

In my opinion, that's why the Giants went so hard after Haniger

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:11

Are you anticipating a Chris Taylor bounce back year? He never really looked healthy in 2022 and his defensive versatility is so, so important to that club.

Ben Clemens

3:11

I am

Nova

3:11

How many agents with clients who took a one year deal last years are (accurately or not) claiming to have foreseen the better environment this year.

Ben Clemens

3:11

Oh haha all of them

Doug

3:11

With the Padres going with Bogaerts at SS, shouldn’t they see how the market for Kim would be? Seems more like a platoon bat at 2nd with taking away his SS defense.

Perry M.

3:11

What would it take to acquire Kim from the Padres?

Ben Clemens

3:14

I think they'd reasonably ask for a top 100 prospect and a bit more. With the way he's playing defense, he doesn't need to hit that well to be valuable, and when he does hit well he's a borderline All Star. The contract is solid, too, though it's only for two more years

Murphy to the Braves

I'm gonna go read about that

Have a great dya, everyone

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