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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 12/2/24

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Dan

3:05

I recall a discussion of a relief pitcher who was out of options and this was put on waivers to let the team call up a fresher arm. The player was claimed by a second team who pitcher him for a few weeks before they did the same thing and a third team claimed him. It was mentioned the player was accruing service time but does a player at this level ever end up signing a free agent deal or do they tend to retire/sign a minor league do once they are no longer eligible for this kind of roster shuffling?

Ben Clemens

3:06

Oh yeah, the guys in this situation aren't reaping free agency wealth

that said, the service time matters for things like pensions and arbitration

also, they're getting paid a major league salary while they accrue service time, which is no joke

3:07

the Triple-A minimum this year was 35,800. MLB minimum was 740k

Wyatt

3:07

What kind of money changes hands of Arenado is traded? Does the Rockies money follow him?

Ben Clemens

3:07

oh hey I just noticed that Arenado had 50 million deferred in his deal

look, everyone is the Dodgers now

3:08

the Rockies money would follow him, though. the Rockies are paying $4 million of his salary each year, and they'd just continue to do that

Kave Dingman

3:08

Living in Toronto from April 1st thru October 31st seems like an ideal plan. And spend the winter somewhere much warmer.

Ben Clemens

3:08

I'm not a winter person, and I think it's a good bet that Juan Soto isn't either

3:09

Miami offseason home? easy

joe

3:09

Should MLB change the way the offseason works? pick up steam faster? Feels like the draft lottery should have happened already.

Ben Clemens

3:09

I think it's set up reasonably well, but I do think there should be a transaction freeze for most of November so that things really start cooking around the winter meetings

Oneear

3:10

Yainer Diaz or Patrick Bailey?

Ben Clemens

3:10

for fantasy? Diaz. For real life? Bailey

3:11

I'm just a big sucker for catcher defense, and Bailey is the best there is there

Henry Dodger

3:11

Did the LAD make enough money on advertising and marketing deals with Japanese corporations that they're essentially not paying Ohtani's ~$45M out of the usual budget?

Ben Clemens

3:11

Yeah

Michael G

3:11

If Soto signs with the Red Sox, Yankees sign Walker & Bregman, Jays sign Santander & Manaea. What is your ranking of the AL East teams?

Ben Clemens

3:11

I think I'd go Yankees/Sox/Jays, but with error bars bigger than the differences between teams

Drew

3:12

Are there enough upgrades on the trade and free agent markets to make the Nationals a contender in 2025?

Ben Clemens

3:12

I mean, sure

give them Soto, Bregman, Burnes, maybe Teo and two other starters, bam

realistically no, though?

Guest

3:12

do u think renting pretty much just always smarter than homeownership rn

Ben Clemens

3:13

Context-dependent

in big cities, almost certainly yes, though

rental yield is so low in SF, it would be pretty expensive to own my place instead of renting it

Dan

3:13

Is Pecan Pie pronounced pecan or pecan?

Ben Clemens

3:13

I'm a 'peh-con' guy

3:14

I think this is a regional deal, though I'm not 100% sure

3:14

Except you can be forced out of your apartment by rent increases every year if your apartment isn't rent stabilized (source: live in NYC)

Ben Clemens

3:15

I mean, sure. but housing in NYC is fairly fungible, you can rent another place. that said, in my experience a huge amount of NYC housing is rent controlled, or at least several of the places I lived there were, even in newer buildings

rental yields in NY are in the 2-3% range from what I've seen, that's wild

Guest

3:15

I know it's mostly just noise, but has anyone done research into player success in even or odd years? Matt Olson's yearly wRC+ graph looks like the Mammoth Mountain logo.

Ben Clemens

3:16

this sounds like a job for Dan, but I haven't seen any effect and doubt it's real

3:16

Housing is not fungible if you have a family, man. You can't move your kids every year.

Ben Clemens

3:17

well sure, but rental increases of say 10% a year are not particularly common either, and you might be paying double to have a mortgage instead of rent for the same place. Obviously there are a ton of different factors, and a baseball writer isn't going to solve the problem in his chat, but from a cost effectiveness standpoint, I've been happy renting in high cost of living cities

Bob Loblaw, Esq.

3:17

Josh Allen for Shohei Ohtani who says no?

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