JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/1/21

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Ben Clemens

3:11

Love it

Sea Monkey, Not a Monkey

3:11

Hm. So, one thing you mention about Mookie being essentially a free agent signing piques my interest. Do you think many players are amenable to signing long term extensions when they are acquired with a single year left on their contracts (e.g., maybe Corey Seager, Lindor, Kris Bryant now)? Does the agent matter? It seems a smart way of circumventing competition (for the reasonable price of 1-year of said star) if in fact an extension can be secured. Presumably, teams cannot verify the potential for this kind of extension with a player prior to a trade (e.g. discuss hypothetical terms)?

Ben Clemens

3:11

I do think so

I don't think it's necessarily that you get a big discount

But your odds of signing them go way up

3:12

Agent matters I think

Player matters

3:13

But team matters too. The Marlins couldn't trade for Mookie and extend, or something

Cube Jockey

3:13

Did St. Louis have to add an additional year at $15M for Arenado to get the union's approval to allow for salary deferral? Was giving him an extra opt out not sufficient?

Ben Clemens

3:13

I have no specific info on this, but htat's my assumption

See! You! Later!

3:13

Pro Football Focus has a WAR metric, and the little bit they do publish of it top QBs appear to be at around 4 wins, which is insane compared to baseball. Like if Mike Trout had a WAR of 40.

Ben Clemens

3:13

Yeah that sounds about right

Touching the ball on every play really helps!

Guest

3:15

Which pitching reclamation project (for example, Kluber, Quintana, etc.) works out best for the team that rolled the dice?

Ben Clemens

3:15

I'll say Kluber. I'm into Paxton as well, but Kluber had the highest peak before, so if he works out, he'll work out the most

Oh Doctor

3:15

Re Expected 2021 innings limits due to last yrs short season. Will the over 27 yr old pitchers who have already handled large workloads be free from such inning restrictions?

Ben Clemens

3:15

Honestly, I have no idea and I don't think teams do eitiher

3:16

We just don't have a lot of history to know what would happen

Jeff

3:17

Are the Braves still the best team in the NLE?

Ben Clemens

3:17

I think the Mets are better now

But it's within margin of error. Both of them miles ahead of the competition though

Oh Doctor

3:17

I would bet there's a lot of history from the past where veteran pitchers had an injury shortened season and came back to a full workload.

Ben Clemens

3:17

Yeah, uh, these guys weren't injured though!

3:18

That seems like an important difference

It'll be interesting to see what happens, and it will provide data for if this ever happens again

But there just aren't many instances of healthy pitchers going 200-100-200 in terms of IP

EbenezerBatflip

3:18

Should the Red Sox trade Vazquez if they aren't contending in 2021 even though there is no likely quality catcher replacement by 2022 to fill that spot?

Ben Clemens

3:19

I don't think so, I tihnk they might as well keep him around. The return wouldn't be huge, and if they decide they're going to try to win in 2022 they can just offer him a good deal?

Plutarch

3:19

when is the next twitch stream scheduled?

Ben Clemens

3:19

Not scheduled yet, but either Wednesday or Thursday this week most likely

I generally like Tuesday but I have a vet checkup tomorrow

Moonlight Graham

3:20

Could the Mets possibly piggyback Lucchesi and Yamamoto as their fifth starter or is that wasting a roster spot?

Ben Clemens

3:20

Eh, I don't think it's a waste of a spot but I also don't think they'll do it

I think they'll just have one of them as a long reliever/spot starter and the other as the fifth starter

Guest

3:20

wow fangraphs health insurance isn't great i guess

Ben Clemens

3:20

For my dog Ruby!

Adge

3:21

thoughts on jays piggybacking pearson, ray, roark and matz with stripling, chatwood, yamaguchi and merryweather?

Ben Clemens

3:21

I don't know if they're going to be hard-piggybacking, but it'll end up looking a bit like it, in that they're going to hvae a lot of long-ish arms in the pen and a lot of short-ish arms in the rotation

EbenezerBatflip

3:21

You excited for Mass Effect Legendary Edition coming out? or MLB The Show now that its on XBox?

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