JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

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Buscon Bob

2:52

Hard for FGs to correctly forecast the Rays W-L when it's unclear how they implement the roster. Remember 200+ people work in the Rays FO trying to maximize and get every drop of juice in that orange.

Ben Clemens

2:52

I'm loving the orange juice metaphor here.

2:53

And reminiscing about the investigative journalism that took down Juicero.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2017-04-19/silicon-valley-s-40...

nope

2:53

It seems like the Nationals' lineup could be a real problem for them this year and they seem content to roll out a bunch of averagish offense guys. Wouldn't they be among the most motivated to trade for Bryant? Is it just a matter of them not having the assets?

Ben Clemens

2:54

Eh, I am not sure if they have the assets, but I understand their reticence. They'd be trading Kieboom, and I think they're setting themselves up to have Turner/Kieboom/Robles/Soto core going forward.

Tabletop Talk

2:54

Have you played Terraforming Mars? It's become an absolute staple in my group. Losing by one point after two hours of playing a game sucks, but it's also great.

Ben Clemens

2:55

Going back to an earlier question to throw in a bit of game talk.

I hvaen't played it but it looks daunting. Lots of bits and bobs. But every review I've heard has been awesome. Will probably get to it at some point.

We had some people over yesterday to play Seven Wonders and I was reminded of how great that game is.

Mr. Met

2:55

Building on your Yankees question, where does Clint Frazier fit it (or not)?

Ben Clemens

2:56

He's kinda the odd man out. I don't think the Yankees expected all of their pieces to work out as well as they did last year. I guess he's, uh, extreme depth? They're going to end up trading him for less than it feels like he should be worth at this point, I guess.

BarryBondsJuicedForOurSins

2:57

Think Castillo has a Cy in his future?

Ben Clemens

2:57

I think if I were picking pitchers based on likelihood of an NL Cy Young

DeGrom is an easy 1

2:58

I think I'd grudgingly take Stras 2

Then like, Buehler 3, Scherzer 4, maybe Flaherty 5?

False Alarm

2:58

Kingkiller Chronicle book 3 is NOT coming out in August. It has been previously reported that the release date shown on Amazon was nothing more than a "placeholder date". We will be lucky to see book 3 by 2022.

Ben Clemens

2:58

I'll get back to the starters, but first: nooooooooooooooooooo

2:59

We've been punked!

So to be clear, this is on likelihood of a Cy Young ever

Basically I think I have Castillo just behind Flaherty, is the point.

Gavelin the Javelin

3:01

Does the Margot trade open up a path for regular at-bats for Taylor Trammell later this season?

Ben Clemens

3:01

Um.... I suppose it could! But only if he really pops this year. For now he's a league-average hitter in Double-A. He has the tools, but I don't know that he's about to take a great leap forward. If he does, that would be extremely good news for them though.

X-man

3:01

Juicero a fraud? Are you denying the power of gravity, Ludiite?

Ben Clemens

3:02

Do luddites deny gravity? It's not actually technology.

devin has cheeto lips

3:02

With a stable of overhyped, under MLB producing young arms in the ATL, what do you see the prospects of 2020 holding for Ian Anderson?

Ben Clemens

3:04

Might be tough in 2020. At only 21, I don't think they'd hate keeping him in the minors another year.

3:05

And it's not as though he's demanding a callup. The stuff is great, and he looked good in Double-A. I might be tempted to just leave him there, not mess with the moonball too much, and call him up if Newcomb struggles.

Buscon Bob

3:05

Boston wanted Margot in the Betts trade, correct me if I am wrong, but SD didn't want to deal him and prospects, right?

Ben Clemens

3:05

Wouldn't surprise me. Margot is the kind of guy Chaim Bloom presumably likes, because he's the kind of guy the Rays like.

3:06

But I didn't see that reported, though I'm by no means an exhaustive source of Betts rumors.

2-D

3:06

Have Luis Castillo and Patrick Mahomes ever been seen in the same room together? They have remarkably similar talents and likenesses.

Ben Clemens

3:06

Love cross-sport comps like this. I also enjoy that Pat Mahomes's dad is in The Book

3:07

For years (TTU years and also when the Chiefs had stashed him behind Alex Smith) I didn't realize he was a junior and just thought wow what a coincidence!

Charlie’s Mom

3:07

Hi Ben, thanks for the chat. Who has more trade value in a vacuum: Ken Giles or Joc Pederson? Is that a potential framework or does the one year of Joc not offer enough years of control?

Ben Clemens

3:07

Yeah I don't see why the Jays make this trade.

Even the most optimistic Jays fan doesn't think they need a 2020 lefty bat.

3:08

Giles has more value to me, and there'd also need to be a third team in the deal somewhere.

3:09

Like Joc to the Cards, Dodgers prospect + maybe Andrew Knizner or Genesis Cabrera or someone to the Jays, Osuna to the Dodgers?

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