JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

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Ben Clemens

3:30

It's just because the natural shape of a roster where the best players are going through arbitration is to be more expensive every year.

3:31

So they knew Mookie would have a bigger contract in '20 than '19, etc.

So it's less of a hassle to reset CBT earlier in Mookie's arb process

Buscon Bob

3:31

Are the Yankees and Red Sox prepared to face the devourer of worlds that is named Wander Samuel Franco?

Ben Clemens

3:31

Wander Franco and I have the same middle name!!!

Gonna go ask Appelman for a raise. Sounds like I'm a hot prospect now

Jeter Downs, Pedroia’s locker

3:32

What does super cereal mean?

Ben Clemens

3:32

It's a South Park quote, from Al Gore, when he's hunting Man bear pig

Jeter Downs, Pedroia’s locker

3:32

Youre a team with money, and youre all excited to spend on a free agent in the winter of 2020-2021. What will a person want to buy?

Ben Clemens

3:32

Mookie!

He's so so so fun

3:33

There's also an honorable mention here for a Goldschmidt-style sign-and-extend for Lindor

Johnny5Alive

3:33

given the competition within the divison and the improvement of the marlins (which people overlook) is it possible that both the NL east will only have 1 playoff team and the win total will be lower than expected?

Ben Clemens

3:33

For sure. NL Central has this issue as well.

Low-key reason to like the DBacks and Padres this year.

They have to play the Dodgers, but they also get the Giants *and* Rockies

trophy

1

Cleveland Fan

3:34

You like Civale in your SP rankings. What is it about him you like better than Plesac?

Ben Clemens

3:34

I haven't done any ranking of Cleveland starters this year. As for our site, hm

3:35

We have them both pretty similar. We're projecting Civale slightly higher, and it looks like more or less it comes down to command

3:36

Or at least, walks.

3:37

ZiPS likes Plesac better, though. And that's due to home run suppression.

So I'd say we are pretty close on the two of them.

Greene

3:37

Best one-two punch in baseball: Trout, Rendon; Bellinger, Betts; or Springer, Bregman? And who might challenge for a spot on this list year (e.g., Devers, Boegarts or Arenado, Story)?

Ben Clemens

3:37

I like Trout/Rendon.

trophy

1

But it's realllllly close to Bellinger/Bets.

3:38

As to who else could make the list; Soto/Turner is an extreme dark horse, Bogaerts/Devers slightly ahead of them probably.

Judge/Gleyber?

Jeter Downs, Pedroia’s locker

3:39

Thats the 94 win Rox to you.

Ben Clemens

3:39

Warning, dangerous self promotion incoming.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-get-the-rockies-to-94-wins/

Soundwave

3:40

I was surprised when Avila said the Tigers teardown was complete, and there may be some more retooling deals, but, with Mize, Manning, and Skubal do you like where they are headed?

Ben Clemens

3:41

Yeah, I like the general rebuild. I do think they're kind of weirdly straddling 2020 with the veterans they've signed, but so long as they are smart about not letting deserving minor league talents get blocked, they have the money

To at least have someone reasonable for their fans.

3:42

And as I've repeatedly mentioned, I love the Niko Goodrum shortstop gambit

Stu

3:42

Nobody knows who will sign Puig...but who should?

Ben Clemens

3:42

Cards. Failing that, Indians. Failing that, Marlins.

3:43

The Indians obviously won't but their outfield projects for 3.6 WAR in total this year!

That's, well, it's not much.

3:44

Puig would probably be their best outfielder immediately if they don't think Franmil is an outfielder. Maybe they do, though

Kevin

3:44

Any reason to doubt in the out of nowhere turnarounds by lynn and minor last year? Advanced numbers say we should believe

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