JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

FlyingPuig

3:17

IMO the Marlins never needed to make any of those trades. They would have been extremely good today if they hadn't.

cool

1

party

1

Ben Clemens

3:18

This is interesting. I think it really depends how much money they were willing to spend. If they wanted to run a Rays-like payroll, then like, no they wouldn't be.

3:19

They'd have $26 million in Stanton, $12.5 Ozuna, $10 million Yelich, $ 6 million in Realmuto

So that's around $55 million, $20 million for the rest of the team?

But honestly if they were wliling to just spend more money, then yeah! They'd have a lot of talent in 2019

3:20

Ozuna would be gone now, but still

A Guy

3:20

Fangraphs projections have the NL East being Nats (.540 WP), Mets (.538), Braves (.531), and then a big drop to the Phillies (.490). Is that the order you would rank them?

Ben Clemens

3:20

The margin of error is wide enough that to me .540 and .531 are basically indistinguishable

So, yeah

Three teams , then a gap, then the Phils

Buscon Bob

3:20

Is oft-injured Kevin Kiermaier worth keeping over Margot? Same profile basically

Ben Clemens

3:21

Lefty/righty is huge.

Nick

3:21

ZiPS, Steamer, Prospectus, or Other? Which is your favorite projection system?

Ben Clemens

3:21

Why choose?

All of the projection systems are quite good in aggregate, and all do a similar job in projections.

3:22

I like to look at multiple things and sprinkle in some of my own analysis.

3:23

If I had to take one, though, it'd be either Steamer (because it's out so early) or ZiPS (because I like Dan and feel like I more understand it than the other two, which is not to say I understand it very well)

FlyingPuig

3:23

Ben, you get the first pick in my fantasy league. Who do you pick? Acuna? Trout? Mystery player?

Ben Clemens

3:23

I haven't played fantasy in a year or two

Will probably be starting again this year

And I think I'd pick Acuna? Trout is better, but I'm just wary of the injury risk, and I'd take 650 PA of Acuna over 500 of Trout. That might be silly.

cool

1

vomit

1

3:24

I should do more research. But I dunno, health is a skill.

ManBearPuig

3:24

I'm super cereal about the Royals needing to fire Dayton Moore. Other than the WS title (which most Royals fans agree was kinda flukey) he hasn't done anything great. His people have drafted poorly, are terrible at developing players, and frankly, us fans are tired of being treated like we are idiots with this "it's going to be a quick rebuild" nonsense.

Ben Clemens

3:24

Excellent name/comment synergy here.

3:25

But also yeah, sheesh, he's been there a while. His method is anachronistic, and while it does seem like he's done well enough at strategy (the Royals prospect wave was well-orchestrated)

The tactics of development and player picking haven't really been there.

3:26

Particularly since 2015

He does seem like a pretty good aggressive GM? Like the Zobrist and then Cueto trades were really good moves

But the team isn't in that spot, and doesn't look like they will be anytime soon.

Depressed Mariners Fan

3:26

Hey Ben do you think there is hope for the Mariners to actually be a decent team in the next couple years?

Ben Clemens

3:27

Yeah! Shed Long, Justus Sheffield, Julio!

Lots of hope.

3:28

Gonna be interesting to see how their roster ends up, but it feels like Jerry is doin well at this rebuild, to my uneducated eyes.

Scott

3:28

Has there been an analysis of whether the most sabermetrically inclined teams actually win the world series more often?

Ben Clemens

3:28

Haven't seen one with any kind of rigorous controls of prior conditions and external factors like payroll and market size.

devin has cheeto lips

3:29

Between Puk, Manaea and The Jesus Lizard, which lefty has the best season for the A's this year?

Ben Clemens

3:29

Gimme Puk. I'm down on Manaea until his velo pops back up, and Luzardo looked incredible but I'm just such a fan of 80-foot-tall lefties

With 102938203921821 mph fastballs

A cat

3:29

Was the BOS mistake trying for a repeat in ‘19 when the CBT reckoning was on tap for ‘20? Since only half of WS champs have even made the playoffs since 2000, wouldn’t a more prudent parh have been to gorego Eovaldi and Pearce and aim to extend stars beginning in 20 after resetting the tax in 19?

Ben Clemens

3:30

If you accept that they need to duck the CBT one year, then maybe 2019 made more sense. But that's not because of any winner's curse or anything.

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat