JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/21/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/21/23

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Ben Clemens

12:50

I'm gonna let spring training play out more before coming to a conclusion here

Shintaro Fujinami

12:50

Am I seriously the frontrunner to be the A's Opening Day starter?

Ben Clemens

12:51

I don't actually think it's that weird. When I was doing my free agent rankings for this year, I asked dan for a Senga projection, and he said 'You want a Fujinami projection too'

I didn't even know who he was. But that was a mistake on my part, he's quite good and their projections were basically the same

Then you look at the rest of the A's rotation and, well, why not Fujinami?

MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:52

Do yourself a favor and TAKE THE PLUNGE. sous vide will change your life for the better. You deserve this ben.

Ben Clemens

12:52

If I get a bigger kitchen with space for more gadgets I'm sure I'll get one. Otherwise, eh, we'll see

Thomas

12:52

Am I silly to dream on Danny Jansen, given the rate stats/injury issues he's had the last two years? Or is there a legit chance that he puts together a 5 win season if he can stay healthy?

Ben Clemens

12:53

I think it's unlikely, but largely because the Jays will be smart about giving him a lot of rest to deal with those aforementioned injury issues

12:54

Heck, ZiPS projects him for 5 WAR/600

Not that catchers get 600 PA's ever, but the rate statistics are there is my point

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:54

Duran already throwing 102 in camp?! Someone tell that man to save his bullets!

Ben Clemens

12:54

He's saving the 103's

RAH

12:54

PT and performance expectations for Mark Canha? Underrated veteran?

Ben Clemens

12:55

Canha is terminally underrated

he signed a bargain free agent deal, went out and put up 3 WAR, and is probably in line to do roughly that again

12:56

He had the same OBP as Brandon Nimmo last year, the walk god himself

Jordan Walker

12:56

I think I've already qualified for my major league debut, but there are a lot of good hitters in the Cardinals now. Can I be in the opening roster?

Ben Clemens

12:56

I would have said no before the Cardinals started trying Tyler O'Neill out in center field

12:57

I think there is some chance that they aren't willing to go into the season with Carlson and O'Neill as 2/3 of the outfield given their down 2022 seasons (both league average with the bat, so not THAT down, but still)

12:58

I still don't think that makes a Walker promotion likely, because they really do have a logjam of good hitters, but it definitely opens the door more than a crack

Weekend Hack

12:59

how about Castillo/whoever even counts as #2

Ben Clemens

12:59

Well, yeah, that second part is doing you no favors

asnbrv

12:59

How much steals do you think the league leader in stolen bases will have this year?

Ben Clemens

12:59

63

but who knows haha

Insert Witty Name Here

12:59

Which highly regarded prospect from the last few years do you think is going to have a career year in 2023?

Ben Clemens

12:59

hmmm.... Gimenez

RAH

12:59

Does CJ Abrams hit the ball hard enough to live up to prospect expectations?

Ben Clemens

1:00

I do not think so

I'm gonna be honest, I never got the Abrams hype

I understand that he's fast and toolsy but he's just never ever ever shown power

1:01

Like, extremely never ever

1:02

All of your other skills need to come together really well to make that package work, and I feel like you can usually see those guys coming from a mile away because if you have everything else all working, you are way too good for the minors

Park Factors

1:02

Do infield grass/dirt dimensions change much between parks? With infielders now being required to start on the dirt will defensive projections change for players and/or park factors?

Ben Clemens

1:02

Sadly the league now standardizes dirt dimensions, booooooo

MilwaukeeBeerJays

1:02

Is fangraphs aware that trevor may is AWESOME. I mean decent pitcher but damn that dude funny.

Ben

1:02

Of James Paxton, Sixto Sanchez, and Mike Soroka, who is most likely to have a healthy and productive season this year?

Ben Clemens

1:02

This is a stab in the dark, but I'll say SIxto

1:03

I want it to be Soroka, I'm a big fan for whatever reason, I just am very worried

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