JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/22/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/22/21

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Ben Clemens

3:22

Well haha that I agree with

I think 'Seattle is manipulating playing time, what jerks' is the wrong takeaway

They all are!

The comibnation of how brazen he was about it and the extensive racism really puts it over the top

3:23

But I'm a Cardinals fan, and I didn't come away from this thinking 'well the Cardinals don't do that'

I just thought 'well they don't talk about that'

Appa Yip Yip

3:23

If the Jays do trade McGuire what's a realistic return? PTBNL lotto tickets? Int'l bonus pool money? Catcher is thin and he's a good defender but the bat, she is light.

Ben Clemens

3:23

I've been pondering this one in the background for a bit

3:24

I think they could do slightly better than that, an interesting reliever or depth starter, something of that nature

The rewards if you pick McGuire up and he's good are huge

3:25

He's not particularly likely to hit, but if he hits even a little, like you said, catchers are rare

And he's only been in the majors for 1 year of service time

Legitimately in his case, not through some weird manipulation

Gan Luseph

3:25

Are you related to Roidger Clemens?

Ben Clemens

3:26

I'm not sure!

My dad claims we're distantly related to Mark Twain, and I have heard Roger claim that as well

That said, you probably can't show me someone with the last name of Clemens who doesn't claim that, so eh

But anyway, not a close relative by any means

Andoru

3:27

Blue Jays lineup is looking fuego but do they have enough pitching to contend for a playoff spot? I’d take like 7 AL rotations over theirs

Ben Clemens

3:28

Bah, it's gonna be a close one

They do really have a solid bench of arms who are interesting in multiple innings

3:29

I think that they'll make some in-season acquisitions after they see who doesn't pan out, but that htey'll make the playoffs

Gregg

3:29

Is JBJr a better fit for Toronto (they wanted to sign Brantley even after Springer, recall) or Houston (they currently have Myles Straw penciled in as a starter, after all)?

Ben Clemens

3:29

Houston, Straw is just not gonna cut it

Kenji Garcia

3:29

Would you choose Corbin Burnes or Casey Mize long term? Statistically speaking, could they be similar players over their careers?

Ben Clemens

3:29

I would take Burnes and I honestly don't think it's close

Mize could be good, no doubt

I think Burnes is quite good right now

3:30

He was always a tools guy, and he finally adjusted his pitch mix to maximize his tools

I'll take the over on his projections this year by a mile

Pre-pitch-mix-change, I think I'd be about even on them

Maybe Mize a little higher

3:31

But seeing what Burnes can do when he ditches his four-seamer is amazing

Tommy Edman leadoff Wizard

3:31

Am I ready to leadoff or am I more of a 6-7 hitter?

Ben Clemens

3:31

I have been talking about this with some Cardinals writers off and on of late

I mean, I don't think Edman is a good leadoff hitter

3:32

Of the team's projected starters, he has the sixth-highest OBP

But it's not the end of the world if he hits first or sixth, the gap between him and, say, Carlson isn't high

3:33

In terms of what I expect for 2021 OBP, to be clear

Gimme Carlson by a mile longterm

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