JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/22/21

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The Final Boss

3:33

A lot of rumblings on 150-170 innings for starters to not overtax them. How does this translate to reliever usage? Will most throw 30-40, or will they be fine returning to 60+? (Understanding all individuals will be different.)

Ben Clemens

3:34

My sense is that relievers will have an easier time adjusting, because there are just fewer raw innings to add

Sanford

3:34

Thanks for chatting, Ben. What was your favorite new bit of information you learned from the prospect week coverage?

Ben Clemens

3:34

Wonderful question

I think I learned the most from Kevin's article about the types of prospects who lose the most from a missed year of time

3:35

I also liked seeing Eric and Kevin's thought process on Picks to Click

So those are my top 2

I was unreasonably happy about some minimal overlap between my mid-tier arbitrary list and Dan's ZiPS top 100

Guest

3:35

Good god, the table of UZR/150 for LF from 2018-2020 shows both Schwarber and Ozuna to be positive defenders the past 3 years. I have to stop. I can't make sense of anything.

Ben Clemens

3:35

Yeah the noise in these things is wild

3:36

Schwarber's comes down to the fact that he had about 8 trillion outfield assists in 18

More specifically, it thought his arm was worth 8 runs above average that year, good god

3:37

Ozuna is really baffling to me. He consistently grades out decently in the outfield but if you watch him it's just not that

I think a little bit of that is that he looks slower than he is

3:38

He's been above average in terms of top speed every year in the majors, but he certainly doens't look it

And he has very quick reactions, above average every year per Statcast

So that makes up for his general plodding and awkwardness

That said, the arm is really bad, and I don't know if he's fixed that

Appa Yip Yip

3:38

Ozuna also fell off the wall that one time and that just colours everything he does out there.

Derek

3:38

Ozuna did give us the greatest outfield highlight of all time though, when he thought he was Spiderman but in fact did not need to be Spiderman

Ben Clemens

3:39

Savant briefly had their 'page not found' show a gif of that catch

brad penny for your thoughts

3:39

Ben Clemens

3:39

thank you

Joey Belle

3:39

Is Karinchak locked into closing for Cleveland until he loses it or will there be a real competition for the spot with Emmanuel Clase?

Ben Clemens

3:40

I don't think there will be a real competition for closer, because Francona has been happy to have one nominal closer, then use another good reliever like Andrew Miller

So for fantasy, my money is on Karinchak getting the saves

Appa Yip Yip

3:40

Minor League defensive stats are even wilder. Vlad Jr was +8 fielding runs above average at third one year.

Ben Clemens

3:40

Dan has done some interesting work on trying to make minor league fielding data better using stringer data but it was inconclusive to say the least

Carlos Marcano

3:41

Who is the most overrated fantasy option and why is Adalberto Mondesí?

Ben Clemens

3:41

See I think it's Javy Baez, but Mondesi is a great one

People just love steals, man

Carlos Marcano

3:42

Haven't thought about Javy... And now will not be able to stop thinking about him being overrated too

Ben Clemens

3:42

I kept him on my Ottoneu team

Having regrets about it now lol

Andoru

3:42

Who would you pick as a surprise contender in each league?

Ben Clemens

3:42

I'm gonna say the Reds and the Red Sox

Are those surprises?

If not, I'll try to go deeper. Next cut is the Giants and the Royals

Jake

3:43

Will free agents be less willing to sign with the M's moving forward?

Ben Clemens

3:43

Eh, international free agents maybe

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