JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/8/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/8/21

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Ben Clemens

2:34

He got moved into CF for a bit, even, because he didn't really pop at second

Not a great sign that he's a somehow undiscovered plus defensive shortstop

Derek

2:34

I see JBJ as kind of a Bader-lite, but found myself always overestimating his value because of how damn fun he was to watch play CF! Interesting to hear I may be in the minority there.

Ben Clemens

2:34

Well, people who read FanGraphs are decidedly not the kinds of fans I'm talking about here

Or, that's probalby not fair

People who *chat* at FanGraphs aren't who I mean

CubFan

2:35

What are your expectations for Yordan Alvarez?

Ben Clemens

2:35

I think he'll be a top 10 bat in baseball

Appa Yip Yip

2:35

Would you rather have an average starting rotation but a bonkers offense, or an average offence with a bonkers rotations?

Ben Clemens

2:35

Personally, bonkers offense

I like those types of games

2:36

I like pitching duels too

But a lot of my enjoyment of those is how different they feel from a regular game. If you start winning every game 3-2, it loses its luster a bit

Wakka

2:36

Who finishes with the best record in the NL between the Mets, braves, dodgers, or pads

Ben Clemens

2:37

I'll take the Dodgers by a hair over the Padres, and by a ton over the Mets and Braves. Not only are the NL West teams better, but I also think the dregs of the NLW will be a little worse

5 Run Homer

2:37

You can only watch so many three pitch strikeouts before that starts to colour your perception of a player

Ben Clemens

2:37

I think that's a reasonable way to put it

If you're a casual observer, you see the strikeouts a lot and the great defense only rarely

major puig baseball

2:37

so what now for the dodgers? the justin turner standoff can't last forever right, but what happens if that doesn't happen? I assume that's the only piece left to fall into place at this point though.

Ben Clemens

2:38

That's basically it. Deciding if they'll bring Turner back, trade for a bargain 3B, or give Edwin Rios some run

I don't thikn they'll do anything else, but I don't think they really should do anything else

Chucky

2:38

What’s your perception of AL ROY Kyle Lewis? A two month all star, or a guy who got lucky just long enough to fit in the window?

Ben Clemens

2:39

I think that he's going to be an average regular going forward, with upside for more if he can rein in the strikeouts

Gigi

2:39

Does a supposedly new baseball that suppresses offense also suppress value for high-end SPs?

Uncle Spike

2:40

MLB just announced that they would be deadening the ball in 2021. Initial thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:40

I haven't seen this announcement yet, gonna dig around for it now

2:41

So, I would say that if it actually results in KBO-level offense reduction

Then it will reduce the value of contact-suppressing pitchers a bit

And that's basically top end guys, so yeah

Appa Yip Yip

2:42

FWIW casual fans absolutely loved Pillar because of all the diving catches and his, apparently, cute butt. It was only the obsessive weirdos like me who were trying to shove him out the door.

Ben Clemens

2:42

Ah then it's totally unlike Bader lol

Bader is mostly liked by nerdy Cards fans and pretty unpopular on the street, as it were

billyjojimbob

2:42

Buying in on a Benintendi bounceback? I feel like the Red Sox will totally suck or surprise people if everything goes right. Everything. There is no boring middle space.

Ben Clemens

2:42

Totally! I'm not saying he's going to be an all star, but I'm a seller that he's just going to wash out

Gordon Dee Strange

2:43

Do you have a sense how much more sophisticated the proprietary analytics that mlb clubs have is than the info you can find here, on b-ref, etc.?

Ben Clemens

2:43

Much more sophisticated, particularly in terms of working with pitchers -- grips, spin, that kinda stuff

2:44

Another huge deal is that they have far more complete minor league Trackman data

We basically get those ad hoc

Neutral

2:44

What are the Padres plans with Kim?

Ben Clemens

2:44

I think they don't know where, but expect him to be a long-term piece

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