JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/13/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/13/23

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Ben Clemens

2:19

But yeah, prospects are never sure things

Remember how hot Victor Robles was at one point?

2:20

Probability is just tough to wrap your head around, and I think that leads to overly-confident 'oh this guy is the future' things from some time

people like to dream, I guess I'd say

baseball_enjoyer

2:20

Will we see an MLB game with the atmosphere of the VZ/DR game until October?

Ben Clemens

2:20

No

Mets Fan

2:20

Has Ronny Mauricio's spring training performance caused you to rethink anything about his profile? Power aside, his swing decisions haven't seemed terrible

Ben Clemens

2:20

Nope!

Wireless Joe Jackson

2:20

The concern about Soto is that he was 267/268 in outs above average as a 23 year old. It's tough to be great as a DH.

Ben Clemens

2:21

Eh.... I'm just not that worried, tbh

like.... I don't think he's that bad of a defender on a go-forward basis

he's not deathly slow, he doesn't take bad routes

I think he'll be just fine

Morbo

2:21

Ben, how do I keep the existential dread at bay?

Ben Clemens

2:22

I like to run and play games

Indiana Cardinal

2:22

As a fellow Cardinal fan, I say if Flaherty pitches like a #1 they have a good chance to win the pennant. If he pitches like a #2 they have a good chance to get past the first round of the playoffs, and if he pitches like the last 3 seasons or gets injured again, then they have to get at least a #2 type starting pitcher if they expect to do better in the playoffs than the last few seasons. Is that pretty accurate?

Ben Clemens

2:22

Seems mostly right

They are light on impact pitching, it'd be great if Flaherty can alleviate that problem

Joe

2:24

What I think we should do to grow the game of baseball in the United States is to put the United States against Mexico at 10:00 on a Sunday night. Any concerns there?

Ben Clemens

2:25

I don't really know what the alternative was, but I'm generally down on the way MLB has marketed this

I have a lot of sports-following friends, even one who loves Joey Meneses

and they're not really following the wbc because they don't know how to

That's a failing of the MLB PR arm, imo

Joe

2:26

Outside of injury or something like losing 5 mph on your fastball, is any bad ST performance by an established player concerning to you?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Not really, no

Broken Bat

2:28

In regards to mlb handing out extensions to so many emerging players… when do the mlb guys “ hold out” like NFL’s to demand a rewrite if they are “ Stars”? I mean, thecNFL model has shown the player in great years holds the cards. In bad years of performance, the player still holds the cards. Car crash coming….

Ben Clemens

2:28

Don't think it's gonna happen thanks to the nature of guaranteed contracts

Inaccessible Rail

2:29

Ronny Mauricio was the Mets big prospect a few years ago, but his shine faded as other prospects passed him. But Lordy, he has hit some Big HRs this spring. Is he a better bet than Baty?

Ben Clemens

2:29

I prefer Baty, probably not a hot take

Dan

2:29

Did the long contracts of this year push back the average age of retirement or are playing going to retire/be at the same age they would have in an alternate universe were nobody got more than 5 year contracts?

Ben Clemens

2:29

my guess: it won't meaningfully change retirement age

Jon

2:30

I read that statcast article on outfield jump and it broke my mind

Ben Clemens

2:30

That's what Davy strives for

2:31

oh, and to finish my thought from above: maybe a few guys will hang around longers

longer*

but there are not THAT many players affected

Morbo

2:31

As it turns out exempting the 16th largest bank in the US from Basel III was a catastrophically poor idea. I'm shocked, shocked, well...not that shocked

Ben Clemens

2:31

Look, I'm not pro bank run

2:32

But if you have to have one, this one delights me for the sheer 'but how could this happen, I know the CEO' whining of people in the bay

Brule's Rules

2:33

ZiPS seems to feel ok about Vaughn Grissom, but he sure seems to be another in this line of good but not heralded prospects with ATL to move quickly and perform. Do you view him as a first-division contributor at SS?

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