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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/18/24

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Ben Clemens

2:38

ideal*

Ray Shoesmith

2:38

deep 20-team league , struggling for a CI/util type...would you prefer Jonathan Aranda or JD Davis? standard cats ,H2H

Ben Clemens

2:38

I think I'd prefer Davis for the likely higher playing time

Colton

2:39

Is Palacios the next in the long line of OFs the Cardinals gave up that explode? Or is Tyler O'Neill going to regain '21 form instead?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Haha I think I like O'Neill's odds more than Palacios's

2:40

I don't entirely count Palacios in this list, the Cardinals picked him up for nothing, he played well for them, and then they turned him into a reliever they needed

this isn't like Arozarena, who they traded for less than his consensus prospect value, or Garcia who they just flat out cut

Made Wiley

2:40

Crazy that the worst case scenario for the Dodgers is just putting Miggy Ro at ss, Mookie back to 2nd and they still easily win the division

Ben Clemens

2:40

Oh yeah they're good!

Sonny

2:41

Roberts didn't specific where they're testing Shohei in field. Get ready for the Ohtani x Betts double play combo!

nate

2:41

Do you think Jared Kelenic will stick at left feild

Ben Clemens

2:41

Eh.... no

I like the idea by the Braves, good to bet on volatility given that they have a good roster elsewhere, but I am pessimistic

nate

2:41

how much playing time do you think will Adam Duval get

Ben Clemens

2:42

I think our projections seem reasonable, around 50% PT, 300-350 PA

Geust

2:42

In regards to that ST breakout question: I think Judge (still a prospect) had a huge spring one year and it changed everyone from "he could be good, but k's" to "wait, wut??"

Ben Clemens

2:42

There's a good one

Greg

2:42

Chances of a Martin Perez bounce back year? Word is he fixed his release point and has now only allowed 5 hits in 11 ST IP with 3 walks and 12 K's

Ben Clemens

2:42

Sure, why not. If we're saying bounce back to somewhere just worse than league average, at least

2:43

It's not like he was unplayable in 2023, the Rangers had more starters than they needed and he looked better int he bullpen so they jsut went with it

if you're saying bounce back to his 2022 season, nah

danny

2:44

why are double plays included in war when it's clearly context dependent in a stat that strives to be non-context dependent?

Ben Clemens

2:44

I mean, that's true of baserunning and defense in general

I'm not sure what the right answer is there

but it's not like double plays are the only thing. You can't make the defensive plays you aren't offered, you can only make the baserunning choices that you're presented by what the people after you do, etc.

Made Wiley

2:44

I wanted to suggest Gallen but the volume just isn't there

Ben Clemens

2:44

Yeah, there are a lot of guys where they have a good peak but not enough volume

Reds Enjoyer

2:44

o/u 1.5 qualified starters for the Reds at the end of the season? Feels like the answer to this question correlates heavily with whether they make the playoffs or not

Ben Clemens

2:44

under

bob

2:45

what valulation method do you use when assigning values in a roto league (i.e. z-scores, pvm, SGps etc.) ?

Ben Clemens

2:45

SGP's, I'm a big fan of Jeff Z's work

To the minors, dammit!

2:45

Regarding Skenes, I'd think control is the absolute #1 thing you COULD work on in the minors?

Ben Clemens

2:45

I suppose, but "hey Paul learn to throw strikes" doesn't really seem liek a plan?

Greg

2:45

ONEIL CRUZ ALERT

HOME RUN NUMBER 7

Ben Clemens

2:46

Okay my lunch plans are heating up sooner than expected, so I'm gonna have to call it a day early today. Great chat everyone, and let's run it back for a jumbo-length one next week

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