JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/28/22

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The Great Giambino

2:33

Leaving Pitching Ninja off your Twitter follow list is blasphemy

Ben Clemens

2:33

I mean, I follow him. He posts 100 things a day, though, it's too much!

Colton Anderson

2:33

On a scale of 1-10, how far off do you think Bellinger is from being a 4th outfielder/role player at this point?

Ben Clemens

2:33

The early returns on spring training are not great

2:34

I don't think he's quite there yet, but boy, I'm getting worried

I was on the 'should the Dodgers DFA him' fence but if he's the same player again, I think they'd do it

Our 115 wRC+ projection seems like a 55th percentile outcome to me

Mike

2:34

Is it possible the Yankees are actually underrated? I don't like that they gave Donaldson and Rizzo the same AAV as Correa but they'll still have a great bullpen and they're better on paper than they were in 2021

Ben Clemens

2:35

I think they might be marginally underrated by Yankees fans b/c what a weird offseason

But overall, I'm pretty worried about their pitching and outfield depth

2:36

I think they'll make the playoffs, and I guess I'd even make them the favorites in the ALE by a hair, but when guys get hurt, it's going to go quite badly

Deep End of the Kranepool

2:36

Would it make sense for the Mets to bring back Conforto on a one year make good deal? Canha becomes excellent 4th outfielder (plus, injuries/Mets). And the DH to run folks through, although that’s already a crowd.

Ben Clemens

2:36

I don't think so; I like Canha more than that

2:37

It would be one thing if they needed to fill PA's at DH, but that's definitely not their problem

If they move J.D. Davis I guess I'm more into it, but that would be a lot of hoops to jump through

2014 rays

2:37

with the giants having Cobb, McGee, Casali, and Longo, who else from the 2014 rays is the most realistic add?

Ben Clemens

2:38

Did you know that Madison Bumgarner had 1.3 hitting WAR that year?

Wow!

Uh.... deadline trade for Sergio Romo if things don't work out in Seattle

or Posey gets lured out of retirement, though I don't see it; he just sold his house in SF

Guest

2:39

Do you think the Twins rotation has sneaky upside?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Yeah, because I don't think people understand variance very well

You just don't know!

Joe Ryan could be a 2nd starter level guy

2:40

Or unplayable

Just huge variance in so many of their back-end arms

Dc in nova

2:40

Ankh v rising sun v blood rage?

Ben Clemens

2:40

I love Rising Sun

Haven't played Blood Rage

Rising Sun just looks SO cool

That carries it for me, I have a great time when playing it b/c it's legitimately a beautiful game

bob

2:42

appreciate the answer about story! i had no idea about xHR/savant and coors, i'm gonna read up on that more. here's another if you'll allow me ... how much am i allowed to believe in mitch keller?

Ben Clemens

2:42

Someone else asked this earlier and I didn't have a chance to get to it

Um.... I think it's reasonable to be hopeful about Keller

He throws hard now, that's neat

2:43

I have a hard time believing he can get back to the command he showed in the low minors, which really limits his upside

But I think he can be a league average starter which is nice considering a bumpy career so far

2:44

Not sure I'm buying him as an ace anymore

bosoxforlife

2:44

Story and Baez, same money, same number of years but I think the Red Sox got a Stradivarius and the Tigers got an ukelele.

Ben Clemens

2:44

Mmmm... I think that they just have different shortcomings. Baez is a great bet to be a better defender, but I think he's a worse offensive player

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