JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/28/22

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Ben Clemens

2:45

I do think that Story is a better fit for Boston

In that park, you want more balls in play, and that's Story

2:46

Also a lot of the time when Baez connects, it's just obliterated, and the monster might turn HR's into doubles

Story lifts the ball more, better fit imo

Ben

2:46

The depth charts projections have Seiya Suzuki with a higher OPS this year than Ohtani, Olson, Judge, and Freeman! Do you think that is too aggresive or are you buying the hype?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Personally, I tihnk it's too aggressive

I'm not a projection system though, which is great, b/c I'm a human being and that sounds more fun

I just have more doubt ballast, as it were

2:47

I'll believe it when I see it

5 Run Homer

2:47

I feel like Baez was perfect for Detroit as a team trying to exit a rebuild; he's exciting and fun to watch and a fan favourite, while Story is a bit more boring and doesn't feel like as exciting an add to the Torkelson/Greene core. Baez in Boston would probably become a lightning rod because of how streaky he is

Ben Clemens

2:47

A good non-baseball take on it as well

I'm a Cards fan and yet LOVE watching Baez

He's just so fun

2:48

Perhaps I'm biased by media coverage, but I also agree that the way Boston sports fans *seem* (and a few of the Sox fans I know are like this, but most aren't), Baez would be a bad fit

He's a lock to have abysmal stretches b/c of the shape of his production

Gil

2:49

On Cano (since you mentioned liking him more than Pujols):

What are your expectations of him? Is Pujols' last season with the Dodgers fairly close?

Ben Clemens

2:49

Yeah, that's a great way of thinking about it. Pujols-esque hitting, only against righties instead of lefties, and he can stand at second or third for a few games when the team needs him to

2:50

That's more valuable than Pujols was for the Dodgers, particularly b/c the Mets could use a second option at 2b after McNeil

RAGBRAI

2:50

Who has a better year. Hilliard, Tellez or Beer. I feel they all come with quetions on playig time. I have them all at a dollar.

Ben Clemens

2:51

I'll take Hilliard for fantasy, I like the speed potential even if it's mostly just potential and think that with the DH he'll get enough PT

Little worried that Tellez will lose his job to Hiura, and worried that Beer just won't play enough

Josh R

2:52

If teams are going to start using electronic signal calling wouldn't it make more sense for the pitcher to be the one to pick the pitch? I don't see any point in the catcher doing it that way just to get shaken off. The pitcher should always know what he wants to throw.

Ben Clemens

2:52

I've been thinking about this of late. I think that things will probably go that way eventually, but that baseball convention has taught catchers how to decide what to throw, and pitchers to hear and react

2:53

I like the idea of sticking with that at the major league level, because pitchers aren't so much deciding what they want to throw and waiting for the catcher to give that sign as having a discussion

Having the pitcher do it removes that, unless the catcher can shake HIM off

2:54

but catchers study scouting reports, and put down the target so that htey can pair pitch with location, and I just kind of think the way it works makes sense

jimmy

2:54

i feel like i've seen too much hate on the phillies - FG standings actually looks like it loves the moves, and the haters are coming from the "super analytic" place. Seems like they're overthinking it. This team will be good and I could honestly see a scenario where they win the east. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I think that Dan's article on Castellanos was on point

2:55

digigng it up now

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/for-outfielder-starved-phillies-castellano...

Is he a weird fit? Yes. But they are in a spot where improvement helps so much that fit doesn't matter much. Good work by them improving, nevermind the fit

Logic says

2:57

Universal DH means a bump in runs per game in the NL this season. How significant a bump do you think?

Ben Clemens

2:57

The AL has scored about 3% more runs than the NL in non-2020 seasons of late. So... that's around a tenth of a run per team per game

Chamaco

2:57

Really enjoy the chats. I have noticed that when you respond to a question, you usually post several times instead of one typed out response. I do the same thing - what does it mean??

Ben Clemens

2:58

I think I might be the only person to do that here, I don't read enough chats to be certain though

This is just how I think; bursts of thoughts that are related but distinct

I don't write that way for articles b/c I have time to smooth it all out, but this is stream of consciousness

I'm an annoying texter too

2:59

Not sure it means much about how good my thoughts are... just how my brain is organized

Dc in nova

2:59

looking at bb ref comp scores, it seems freeman is more likely to age well than Olson is likely to improve / maintain his performance. Agree? What’s your opinion of bb ref comp scores?

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