JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/1/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/1/24

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Ben Clemens

2:49

Yeah i think he is

love the opportunity set there

HayesMVP2024

2:49

Taking a look at the projected standings, is the NL Central race the most interesting division to watch? Every team is between 25-40% to make the playoffs.

Ben Clemens

2:49

Yes it is

there are no truly awful teams there this year

one of only two divisions where I think you can say that (ALE)

and that's really fun

woodberry

2:50

The Pirates seem a lot more interesting with Jones in the mix...do they say the heck with it, and call Skenes up sooner than later? That two-headed monster will undoubtedly put seats in the stands, and they might make the central division super competitive.

Ben Clemens

2:50

I think they will

I'd be a very aggressive GM on moves like that, of course, so you can't take what I'm saying as gospel

2:51

But this team is young and exciting and the fact that they were willing to start Jones in the majors says that they're not slow rolling for the sake of slow rolling

cool

1

Stroman

2:51

That was actually a really impressive start

Ben Clemens

2:51

if this is what the Yankees get out of Stroman, it might be the signing of the offseason

2:52

just like, not much money and for a very solid starter

Clarke Kent

2:52

Purely stats and analytics based question here: did Juan Soto's impact on the lineup get the Yankees DAWGx levels back to a place where you can feel good about them taking the division over the upstart Orioles

Ben Clemens

2:52

you know, I haven't looked at DAWGx, but I did look at their xThatGuyJustKnowsHowToPlay

it's gone way up

2:53

Wow Yoan Moncada just stretched a triple into a double, that's not a great look this early in the season

Matt Damon

2:54

MATT. DAMON.

Ben Clemens

2:54

Hey there Matt, long time no yell

laughing

2

B

2:54

Yellow mangos are in season. So good!

Guest

2:54

I imagine it may be too small a sample size, but is there an advantage (towards pitcher or batter) at the end of very long at bats (>= 10 pitches, say)?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I was looking around for an old article that I read about this

I want to say Ben Lindbergh, but maybe so long ago that it was at Grantland and not the ringer

the answer was yes

RickP

2:55

Hey Ben - who do you think has the best probability to hit a HR in the Giants v Dodgers game?

Ben Clemens

2:55

Haha, just for your own entertainment and not any kind of wagering reason I'm sure, but uh.... presumably it's Mookie?

Paulie Eff

2:56

12-team category H2H. Drop Maikel Garcia for Colt Keith? I already have Volpe and Scott for SB’s

Ben Clemens

2:56

I mean, that's your worst player? Nice!

I'm kinda interested in Garcia's power jump, I'd HATE to drop him right now

Key Flaw

2:57

With all the talk how the Cruzes are big for shortstops and maybe too big, why are people ignoring Gunnar Henderson who is also big and can play a mean shortstop (plus also..you know... Cal). Maybe being big isn't bad at SS?

Ben Clemens

2:57

Oneil Cruz is FIVE INCHES taller than Gunnar

2:58

there's a difference between big shortstops (that's happened, we like em, Seager etc) and small forwards

Matto1233

2:58

Who needs Steele when you have Imanaga anyway?

Ben Clemens

2:58

I am really high on Imanaga, have him in fantasy and totally buy the ZiPS juice

Daniel

2:58

Red Sox looked interesting against the Mariners. Can they pitch a little bit? Maybe some potential to surprise?

Ben Clemens

2:58

I really feel like the Red Sox are one ace short of having an excellent pitching staff

2:59

I think that a lot of teams whose pitching I don't like are MANY pitchers short of an excellent staff

the Sox seem like if they could have one true anchor, they have a ton of good arms who can hold down the rest

Patty

2:59

Andrew Bailey had all three of Pivetta, Crawford, and Whitlock throwing some sort of slider over 50% of the time this weekend. While the early results were great, do you have a what implications that may have on durability? The conventional wisdom is breaking balls strain arms, but recent research seems to blame velocity more

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