JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/1/24

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

2:59

Yeah, I am not overly worried about injuiries any more than I always am

3:00

although the super hard sliders are unquestionably very hard on arms

like per unit velocity, breaking balls are harder on your arm than fastballs, the velocity is what makes the fastballs worse

Darryl Vanilla

3:00

How are the Mets' playoff hopes going to be affected by the Megilah injury?

Ben Clemens

3:00

yeah it hurts. when your blah back end guys are alreayd down to start, every injury just weighs more

Tom Tango

3:00

Has anyone recently done any more detailed analysis on the value managers provide? I'm curious if the Cubs are on the front edge of a new wave of changes in MLB with Counsell. It does seem like a good manager can provide a couple of wins difference which is deserving of more money than a mediocre RP.

Ben Clemens

3:00

I haven't seen any in quite a while

3:01

I think that it's basically a certainty that managers provide value in terms of keeping players engaged and managing workloads than anything they do with in-game decisions, and that remains frustratingly hard to measure

deBride

3:03

You get a chance to see Bryan Hudson throw three scoreless for the Brewers? Believe I saw somewhere that his release point is so extreme it is almost off the plot

Ben Clemens

3:03

I did not but now I'm gonna go try to look

Rotten Apple

3:03

Is MLB really benefiting from this deal with Apple+? Is Apple? I would guess a very high % of fans are not subscribing just to watch the occasional game. Would you agree this setup sucks for the fans?

Ben Clemens

3:03

I think Apple is benefiting

I think they're benefiting less as time goes on, and that maybe the deal won't continue forever

3:04

particularly now that they are more in on MLS than baseball

I thought that using it as advertising was really smart, I know several people who got the free apple tv trial to watch some games and liked the trailers for new shows enough that they kept it

It's unclear to me how much value it has as a going concern rather than advertising, though

Matto1233

3:05

Nice to see Kris Bryant got a good ovation at Wrigley today. Can you think of anyone else that has had as bizarre of a career arc? Was the league MVP, face of the Cubs after 2016, and maybe the best non-Trout player for a few years but then faded into complete irrelevancy so quickly it’s almost jarring.

Ben Clemens

3:05

Yeah it's really amazing

Aidan

3:05

Early thoughts on Jung Hoo Lee? I think he had at least 4 barrels, and swung and missed twice in 70-80 pitches to him against the Padres.

Ben Clemens

3:05

He looks better than I expected

I'm very excited to catch a lot of his games hthis year

Paul

3:05

Re: Managers value. Putting people in the right position to succeed is the managers job, but said individuals failing to actually succeed has nothing to do with the manager. Yet the managers are held accountable

Ben Clemens

3:05

Right, that's why it's so hard to measure

Paulie Eff

3:05

Ok, I’ll hold onto Maikel. What about dropping Eddie Julien for C Keith?

Ben Clemens

3:05

OBP or AVG?

3:06

Pick 3 - Whitlock at LAA, Javier Vs Toronto, JJones Vs Balt, King at SF, Pepiot Vs Tex AND at Col

Ben Clemens

3:06

Today in Ben Picks Things:

Whitlock, Javier, King

pepiot with one of the worst imaginable two start sets, oof

Only Fan(atic)s

3:07

Is there a bell curve of injury correlation? E.g. those that miss games to major injury/minor injury are less likely to have correlative injury trends in the future than those with constant medium level injuries (frequent tissue and muscle pulls). Our injury prone friends Royce Lewis and ILoy Jimenez have shown that the muscle and tendon injury prone tend to remain as such. [I'm currently wrapping Byron Buxton in bubble wrap as we speak. Jazz Chishom is in the queue next.]

Ben Clemens

3:07

I understand your question maybe 60%, but I'm gonna say yes, different injuries are differently predictive

Smiling Politely

3:07

I was thinking the other day just how many really, really great writers were part of Grantland, and how much I'd enjoy a 30 for 30 on that experiment

Ben Clemens

3:07

Truly crazy

3:08

Like, every time I would read about some new thing I didn't previously care about, the person writing about it would be one of the best in the game at it

Paulie Eff

3:08

Avg and Ops

Ben Clemens

3:08

Eh, I think I'd do it then. I do like Keith quite a bit. But look at all these good options!

McGraw45

3:08

Which occurs first: a team goes 162-0 or the heat death of the Universe?

Ben Clemens

3:09

Heat death, but that's because baseball isn't going to exist in perpetuity