JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/1/24

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Ben Clemens

3:09

it hurts me how many times I was like 'oh hey maybe!'

but no

the answer is always no at the end of the day

3:10

he'll walk 6 in a row and you'll be cured of your blindness

bosoxforlife

3:10

Deep down in my twisted mind I am hoping for a 5 team battle in a couple of divisions. In 1967 the AL entered the last week of the season with 4 teams within a game of each other. The White Sox had the lead then lost their last 5 and finished 4th.

Ben Clemens

3:10

It would be really amazing, and I think that the NLC is the best chance for that in a while

The Pirates and Reds both putting it together simultaneously, and having that happen to sync up with the Cubs being in an upswing? It seems too good to be true

Man, Imanaga is gonna be good when it's cold out

3:11

if nothing is getting out of Wrigley, how do you score on him?

Only Fan(atic)s

3:11

That makes sense. I assume that things like ACL tears and broken bones due to HBP have no correlation to future injury unless they cause complications that reduce performance as a result of surgery. As to where constant muscle pulls and tendon strains, where there is no surgery, appears to be correlative for injuries from year to year. [As a runner with paper tendons I can confirm] I wonder if there is data on the year to year correlation between soft tissue injuries and time missed from season to season

Ben Clemens

3:11

Derek Rhoads does some good stuff on injuries, I'd follow his stuff

3:12

but i haven't seen anything on this in particular, no

Morbo

3:12

Supermassive black holes will take about 2x10^100 years to evaporated. 2^162 is 5.8*10^48

Ben Clemens

3:12

right.... but do you think baseball is going to continue for 10^48 years? Do you think it's going to continue for 10^2 years? Do they have baseball in your quadrant, Morbo?

Idiotic Failson

3:12

As a guy that didn't really watch a ton of NL baseball, I have to say that my first few games of the Juan Soto experience has been deeply gratifying. That guy was hitting in front of Judge and looked like twice the hitter that Judge was. The Yankees just need to give him whatever he asks for. Absolutely ludicrous talent.

Ben Clemens

3:12

Yeah I feel like once a year or so I write an article titled some variation of "Juan Soto, your favorite hitter's favorite hitter"

3:13

it's SO satisfying to watch him work

he doesn't always succeed, but it always feels like he's up there with a plan

Mo Jiggles

3:14

What could fix Severino? Losing velo is part of life, but what causes a decrease in extension? Is that primarily a function of a pitcher's stride or arm angle? thanks

Ben Clemens

3:14

More stride than anything else, which I think is often a sign that something is not right in the legs/core

Nate

3:14

On April 30th the White Sox will have __ wins

Ben Clemens

3:14

They will???

You seem very confident

bosoxforlife

3:14

I think the AL East also has a chance because the Red Sox are much better than the consensus thinks. I remember 2021 and nobody was expecting anything yet they came within 2 games of the WS.

Morbo

3:15

We enjoy Blernsball in Morbo's quadrant! And baseball's time live depends on if time travel is invented because there could absolutely be The Baseball Game at the End of the Universe

Ben Clemens

3:15

Can't argue with that. that said, I'll bet on the heat death of the universe because I'm sure it will happen eventually, whereas I'm less sure that a team will ever win all their games

Kevin

3:15

Do you think the Rays have a fundamental problem with pitcher injuries? Honeywell, Patino, De Leon, McKay, McClanahan, Baz, Bradley, Glasnow are all former or top pitching prospects who had serious injuries either completely or partially derail their careers while in the Rays org. Or is this just normal pitcher attrition?

Ben Clemens

3:15

I think the Rays select for guys who are perhaps a little more injury prone

3:16

It's not clear to me that it has to do with the org so much as the selection bias

Steve O

3:16

The interesting thing about Soto vs Judge is that Soto looks more in control at the plate, but Judge is clearly the better hitter and player.. not really sure how those things are simultaneously true but they are.

Ben Clemens

3:16

Well, that's because when Judge's bat touches the ball, it evaporates. I'm not sure I agree with you, though

The thing that always gets me about Soto is that his floor is just comically high

also he's SO durable

3:17

that matters a lot, you know?

KC Pain

3:18

Would you sell low on Arenado for Nimmo if your current CF is Taveras and have Burger as 3B replacement?

Ben Clemens

3:18

omg this is a shocking question to receive

but like, wow, I might

Arenado has always been a better real life player than fantasy

Insert Witty Name Here

3:18

Food Q: have you ever tried to make bagels? I’ve made them over the years and they were so-so. Then I just added psyllium husk and total game changer. Never had a bagel other than NYC.

Ben Clemens

3:19

I haven't but a friend I was skiing with this weekend was telling me about his experiments making bagels

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