JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/24

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Ben Clemens

2:33

on Walker

am I missing something? he seems to be starting acceptably

2:34

I was thinking Corbin Carroll b/c I went to two Giants games this weekend and he looked really lost at the plate

bosoxforlife

2:34

Willie Mays went 1 for his first 26. nuff said.

Mary Kate Olsen

2:34

MARY. KATE. OLSEN.

laughingstock

2:34

Do catcher framing numbers stabilize a lot quicker than other defensive metrics, because there are a lot more pitch framing events per game than other defensive events? Or is there still too much noise to start reading into those numbers yet?

Ben Clemens

2:34

They don't, despite there being more data

That's because a lot of what's going on in catcher framing is kinda random

2:35

umpires miss calls not just b/c catchers fool them but b/c of random variation

and catcher framing gives the total value of that to the catcher

so sure, there are more obvservations, but there's a ton of noise

War2D2

2:35

Lotta people worried about you being worried. Are you worried about people worrying about you being worried?

Ben Clemens

2:35

'are you worried about' is just such a classic baseball trope

it's kinda fun to lean into it

John

2:36

12 team ottoneu points league. I have a $9 Isaac Paredes but have never been a fan of his profile and am looking to sell high. Is this the right move and if so, who are some SP to target in a fair trade?

Ben Clemens

2:36

Did you know that Isaac Paredes has hit .235/.335/.467 on the Rays, a 130 wRC+?

That's over more than 1,000 PA's

23rd best hitter in baseball by wRC+ over that span

that's kinda crazy, really

BEEBDS

2:37

Michael Busch and his 1 dot would like some ROY competition buzz

Ben Clemens

2:37

I see him as the second favorite just perusing some odds sites right now

Yamamoto still first, of course

Refugee

2:38

Whoops, totally misread your statement about the Mets vs. Marlins

Ben Clemens

2:38

Ah yeah. They started with similar projections!

Justin

2:38

Hey Ben! What do you think of Jackson Merrill so far? Is he the best rookie named Jackson?

Ben Clemens

2:38

I mean, clearly he has been so far

I'd take him rest of season, too

Tom

2:39

are the Twins done? Cleveland looks like they'll win 90+, hard to see the Twins fixing the lineup + the 4 & 5 starters in time to keep up with that pace

Ben Clemens

2:39

I'm a little lower on them than our playoff odds (23% of winning the ALC)

Their best path is the Guardians struggling b/c of an accumulation of pitching injuries

2:40

I haven't really downgraded my view of the Twins on a go-forward basis, but 8 games is a TON, which is what our odds say

The Other Cruz

2:40

Time for Oneil Cruz to get optioned? Or should the Pirates just let him work through it at the MLB level? It's rough right now both at the plate and in the field.

Ben Clemens

2:41

I'm sorry to say that I think so, yes

2:42

Things are just getting ugly

I'm pretty worried at how many strikes he's letting go by

like it's realllllly important for a guy like him to swing at strikes, even if it means swinging at balls

2:43

he makes very little contact, but he's quite good when he does, so swinging is important

Jake

2:43

You’re Mike Elias. It’s late July. You’ve decided to trade Kjerstad for your postseason run. Which team is your first call to? (For the purposes of this, you can’t opt to just keep Kjerstad.)

Ben Clemens

2:43

2:44

I'm calling the Royals first. I don't think they'll really be dealing, so then I'm calling the Angels to ask about Reid Detmers. Finally, I might call Seattle and see if they want to link up on a really big deal

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