JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/24

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Guest

2:44

Gleyber had 24 and 25 the last two years (117/123 wRC+), mirage in 2023 specifically?

Ben Clemens

2:44

last two years fine

more what I mean is, if you look at our projectdions, they thought he'd run 2023 back with better batted ball luck

but maybe he was having bad batted ball luck but good contact quality luck and he'll end up somewhere in the middle

BEEBDS

2:45

July 31, 2017: Traded by the Chicago Cubs with Jeimer Candelario and cash to the Detroit Tigers for Alex Avila and Justin Wilson.
April 5, 2022: Traded by the Detroit Tigers to the Tampa Bay Rays for Austin Meadows.

Double Oof.

Ben Clemens

2:45

Look that first trade is one of the best trades of all time

The second one.... is not

Morlock Jimenez

2:45

Is Ben Clemens worried?/Would you like us to assign someone to worry Ben Clemens?

Ben Clemens

2:45

Please no one worry me

2:46

btw, 'Ben Clemens Worries' might be a fitting follow up to Ben Clemens Investigates, my very short lived (two?) segment on Sleeper and the Bust

April but...

2:46

Marcell Ozuna has 27RBI in 20 games. Could we see a historic RBI total from him in that lineup, or relax it's still April?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Relax it's still April, but he is absolutely mashing at the moment

Braves are so good!

Depressed M's fan

2:47

Is Bryce Miller for real?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I'm ready to believe in the splitter, to be honest

Daniel Epstein wrote about splitter adders today over at BP:
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/89832/in-the-dirt-the-...

soddingjunkmail

2:47

Re: The Twins/Guardians, A whopping 45% of the Guardians' games have been against the A's or White Sox. Let's not anoint them for 90 wins quite yet. Plus, ya know, April.

Ben Clemens

2:48

Yeah, totally agree

But eight games!

really does a lot of work

M

2:48

Do you think the Mariners lineup is just experiencing a hot streak right now or are they actually starting to figure things out?

Ben Clemens

2:49

there's a real 'when julio goes we go' thing going on here I think, their offense is still really blah but one guy going crazy can do a lot because they don't have many true holes

I'm excited for Clase but I mean, slow start?

Guest

2:49

Blaze Alexander thoughts? Can he be above average regular?

Ben Clemens

2:49

Actually I have two Blaze Alexander takes

2:50

one is my wife's. As I mentioned, we went to two DBacks/Giants games this weekend. When he batted she was like 'is this guy in witness protection and that's why he's named blaze?'

as for can he be an above average regular: I mean, obviously he can be

Will he be? I do not think so

He'd need to be a really good defender and nothing points to that

2:51

or get better at hitting. I'm not saying he isn't a good hitter, but he's not remotely this good, a .390 BABIP and sneaky high ISO for how hard he's hitting it probably won't last

bosoxforlife

2:52

Bregman, Julio Rodriguez, Torkelson, Rendon, Buxton are just some of the power hitters who are approaching 100 AB's without a home run. The average of HR's/game is down quite abit.

Ben Clemens

2:52

Combo of less travel by baseballs so far and the fact that it's cold

MLB's inability (or lack of desire) to control baseball production is getting kind of shocking

I think at this point we have to lean towards inability though

you think they wanted LESS offense this year?

Ray Shoesmith

2:52

20 team dynasty H2H - do i replace bo naylor with patrick bailey at C going forward or would you roster both and give Bo a little more time to figure it out?

Ben Clemens

2:52

I think I'd keep both

Jake Rogers Appreciator

2:53

Moral of the story for Isaac Paredes trades is that Al Avila can only properly evaluate a trade return if his son is involved

larkinhof

2:53

building on the Mayo/Duran trade .... I would one up that with a Noelvi Marte for Duran trade.. that actually makes a good amount of sense for us

Ben Clemens

2:53

Maybe this is a hot take, but I easily prefer Mayo to Marte

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