JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/21

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Guest

2:28

If parity is not ideal, are you cool with the Cardinals being crappy for a while?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I would be, but I'm not sure if I would have been as a non-writing fan

2:29

Personally, I have always followed baseball relatively broadly, but I could see it weighing on one-team fans a lot, and that's a big market for the game

On the other hand, Cardinals fans would have no right to complain if they were bad for a little

Neil

2:29

Do you think the mets projected odds of 70% to win the division are a little high?

Ben Clemens

2:30

Oh, for sure. I think that this early in the season, the extremes of our odds can be somewhat strange. This really comes down to the fact that we were quite low on the Braves and Phillies coming into the season

2:31

And that the Mets' depth is sketchy, which we don't account for in the way I probably would if I built it from scratch

Chris

2:31

Did you fall for the fake kelenic mariners pr account too like every national writer?

Ben Clemens

2:32

Even better, I didn't even see it until after it was debunked

So I didn't fall for it, by default

Matt

2:32

Ben, who is the worst MLB player you would trade Gary,Keith, and Ron as your broadcast crew for? So you get the player on your team, but you get replacement level TV guys.

Ben Clemens

2:32

If I were only going to watch one broadcast and watch it every day, it would be a high bar

2:33

as in, I'd give up a lot to have GKR

Mostly G, in fairness, but yeah

Using the Cardinals, maybe DeJong or Goldschmidt?

2:34

but I would listen to arguments that it's any cardinal

Would I deal Flaherty for getting a+ announcing every day? Actually probably yes

Matt

2:34

for what its worth, I listened to a Nats broadcast, and decided not even trout

Ben Clemens

2:34

The Nats' radio crew is excellent

If you can get them as an overlay, I highly recommend it

2:35

But yeah, the TV group, woof

not my favorite

Guest

2:35

Do you think Trent Grisham is the real deal?

Ben Clemens

2:35

I think he's *a* real deal

I don't think he's going to continue his .515 slugging percentage, or honestly .370 obp

2:36

But I think that he can be an above average hitter who plays an above average center field

So basically an All Star

does that count?

Marshall

2:37

Why are such a disproportionate number of the all-time WAR leaders from ~100 years ago? On some level, WAR is intended to adjust across eras, right?

Ben Clemens

2:37

I'd argue that the standardization of baseball has a lot to do with this

If 100 years ago a team needed to fill out its rosters, replacement level might be REALLY bad

It might be a local pastor, or a steelworker who had some free time in the evenings

2:38

(maybe not that bad, but not far off)

now replacement level is an athlete who has been training for 15 years for his shot

Master B.

2:38

Hey, Ben — Have you caught Vidal Brujan’s work in AAA thus far? 5 HR in 5 games, 3 from his historically weaker side (right). This dude seems like a potential fantasy monster. Your thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Big fan! Hvae him on my Ottoneu team and couldn't be happier about it

My prospect bench is Bobby Witt, Nolan Gorman, Brujan, and Austin Martin, so we're playing for next year, to say the least

2:40

Update on pace from earlier: we're aiming to get it back to the site before long, just a data issue

Guest

2:40

What part of the Mets depth do you find sketchy? Not dissenting, just curious. As a fan, it seems to me that their depth has actually helped keep them afloat while some of the regular have struggled and/or been injured in the early going. Bench players have stepped up, and guys they've brought up have come up big on a few occasions. Even pitching-wise- they have probably misused Lucchesi a couple of times in the early going, but the guys they have been cycling through on options have been serviceable.

Ben Clemens

2:40

I probably misspoke by just calling the depth sketchy

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