JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/21

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Ben Clemens

2:41

More what I mean is that they get a disproportionate amount of value from stars, such that if you discount some likelihood of their stars being hurt, it affects them more than their competitors

I think that with deGrom going on the IL, you'll see a big hit to probability, for exmaple

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

2:42

The new Serious Eats redesign is terrible. Way too much whitespace and the photos interspersed with the steps make the mobile website frustrating to use in the kitchen. It looks like every recipe agglomeration blogspam site.
https://www.seriouseats.com/beer-cheese-recipe
(Also, we had that sauce with roasted broccoli and the King Arthur pretzels recipe here, following the tip to make pretzel bites https://www.kingarthurbaking.com/recipes/hot-buttered-soft-pretzels-re... and it was all delicious.)

Ben Clemens

2:42

Okay sorry I didn't totally answer the Mets question but I had to throw this up

Yes I totally agree, the new redesign is awful

Not a big fan at all

2:43

I've always wondered how to make beer cheese!

Guest

2:43

soft pretzels made with sourdough starter discard are my new jam... give it a shot if you have starter available to you...

Ben Clemens

2:44

I really should have some sourdough starter. I'm an embarrassment to San Francisco as-is

WHYGJoseTabata

2:44

If you take away the first week of the season and left handed pitching from Gregory Polanco you basically have a great hitter against right handed pitching. You think an AL team will have interest if he can continue his 900 plus OPS against RHP?

Ben Clemens

2:44

I mean.... basically no?

2:45

He does have a huge platoon split, I totally believe that

I do not believe that you can just ignore those results against LHP this year (.000/.105/.000 lol)

Research on platoon splits has shown, time after time, that total production plus a heavily regressed guess at platoon talent

Outweighs looking at the individual splits

2:47

and Polanco's overall game this year isn't without redeeming features, but it's not pretty

Marshall

2:47

Following up on my previous question, would it make sense to use a "standardized" wins above replacement (i.e., using a number of standard deviations of wins above replacement)?

Ben Clemens

2:48

I'd have to think more about this one, but maybe. I think more relevantly, you just shouldn't compare Deacon White, a sick 1800's hitter, to Andrew McCutchen and try to ascertain who is better for their era

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

2:48

Someone may have written this, but I'd be really interested in seeing the warning track outs this year that would have been homers last year. I feel like I'm seeing more flyouts that would have gone out in the juiced ball era, and I'm curious the extent to which that's true and who's "lost" the most homers from it.

LFC Mike

2:50

Ben... We need you settle a raging argument on another FG chat... Chili: Better with or without beans?

Ben Clemens

2:51

(I didn't have a great answer for the HR question, b/c it's something I'm considering doing)

But for me, chili can be had with or without beans, and I like it better with beans

Dan and I will inevitably have to settle this with a duel, I know

Joe Shlabotnik

2:51

When I hear that a rehabbing player is taking part in a simulated game, I picture me at 10-12 years old with a couple-few friends: one of us pitching, one at bat, the rest of us cycling from roaming the IF/OF to at-bats. Imaginary baserunners. Single-double-triple-HR assigned to areas of the field. That's what it looks like for MLB players too, right?
Seriously, though...how "real" is a MLB-rehab-level simulated game?

Ben Clemens

2:52

Wonderful question that I don't completely know the answer to, but it's closer to what you're describing than I thought for a long time

Much more focused on batter/pitcher confrontation

Neil

2:52

What do you think would be a bigger lose Degrom going on the IL or Ronald Acuna going on the IL?

Ben Clemens

2:52

Gut feel is dG, we project him for more WAR and pitcher injury average duration feels longer

Guest

2:53

I respect that math and science would discount the Mets winning probability with deGrom on the IL- but given the Mets' track record in games deGrom starts, maybe not? At least this year, they can throw out Jordan Yamamoto or Tommy Hunter, compared to some of the spot starters they've brought up in recent years...

Ben Clemens

2:53

Yeah, their depth is better this year than in years past, no doubt

Lucchesi and Yamamoto were really nice pickups I think

not to mention Walker

2:54

and hey, just imagine how bad the mets would have been in those games WITHOUT degrom

Appa Yip Yip

2:54

I see any bad tv announcers you want to name and raise you Buck Martinez and Pat Tabler being simulcast so they ruin both the television and radio product.

Ben Clemens

2:54

Yeah, what the Jays (and Rogers) are doing with radio broadcasts is rouuuuuugh

(i wasn't completeyl sure which letter to emphasize)

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:55

If we calibrate the PANIC-O-METER to mid-May, where do the Dodgers score? 5/10? The offensive struggles seem related to more than just injuries.

Ben Clemens

2:55

For mid-May, I think that 5/10 is appropriate

Of course, that's normalized to May. On the overall panic scale it's still like a 2/10

Angry Nats Fan