JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/24/21

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Ben Clemens

2:37

Let's do some digging, here

2:38

I've got exactly two for you

One is that he can hit the ball really hard

Another is that he's 24 and on the Tigers, so he has three years to figure it out

But oof, it's not a good year so far

I'd lean towards cutting bait sadly

BIG FAN

2:38

Watching this rays game, this Wells kid has some range! Does he stick there, and where do you see Franco and Brujal playing IF they come up this year?

Ben Clemens

2:39

Yeah, Walls will stick at short. His arm is incredible, dunno if you've seen that yet

2:40

I saw speculation that it would be third for Franco and center for Brujan, I don't feel like I have any better insight than that

Ray

2:40

Can I officially give up on Corbin?

Tom

2:40

What do you make of Pat Corbins rough start for WSH?

Ben Clemens

2:41

I don't know if it's QUITE time to give up; I'm encouraged to see his velocity ticking back up slightly. He really needs that to make his slider work

2:42

That said, he's hardly misisng any bats, and that's terrifying

2:43

I don't think he's as bad as his results have been, but I also don't think he's goin to return to his form of 2-3 years ago

Here's a big problem:

https://www.fangraphs.com/players/patrick-corbin/9323/pitch-type-split...

2:44

If you look at the plate discipline numbers on his slider, batters are making contact on 64% of their swings

When Corbin is good, that number should be under 50%

He's just not fooling anyone with it, and I think it slightly comes down to them not respecting his fastballs anymore

Super Max

2:44

In the race for second behind Mancini in the CPOY I would also like to nominate Jed Lowrie for overcoming the Mets.

Ben Clemens

2:44

A truly inspiring tale, to be sure

BIG FAN

2:44

Yes it was a very impressive play. He’s got a cannon. Speaking of impressive and cannons my boy Riley on the bravos. So glad I was patient with him!

Ben Clemens

2:45

Yeah, Riley is a great example of why we're all generally giving up on prospects too soon

He wans't ever *bad* for the Braves, really

He just took a while to get going

500 PA of blah baseball doesn't mean you're not good anymore, that can happen to anyone

Matt Damon

2:46

MATT. DAMON.

Frustrated

2:46

I'm finally giving up on Luis Castillo. Reasonable?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Ugh

Frustrating, but reasonable

I mean, he's obvoiusly not a 7.6 ERA guy

2:47

Stranding only 54% of his runners is just not gonna continue

2:48

But I'm kind of off him as an ace

And if he's a mid-4s ERA type, well, you can probably do better than that, someone will value him higher

Appa Yip Yip

2:48

People were ready to give up on Vlad last year because he didn't go full Soto from the jump.

Ben Clemens

2:48

Yeah, and here I am writing Castillo off

I would just say that I have more leash on prospects

a lot of the time

Particularly hitting prospects

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