JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/8/26

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/8/26

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Ben Clemens

3:04

A Rod?

not A Rod

hayz11

3:04

The answer is John Jaso in 2010 - he had a 14.6% BB rate and a 9.7% K rate.

Ben Clemens

3:04

now that is great

such is baseball, such is life

3:05

McGonigle is really fun. The crop of young hitters this year has been a smash success so far, I love it

3:06

him, Wetherholt, Griffin, Murakami if you count imports, Sal Stewart is kinda fun, DeLauter and Bazzana and Antonacci all playing well....

it's great. It's going to be miserable for the trade value series, but like, fun miserable

Phillip Denny

3:06

I need someone to tell me I'm not going crazy - Ryan Feltner's 4S is literally just a cutter, right....RIGHT??

Ben Clemens

3:06

I mean, he definitely cuts it. But I think it's kind of a cut four-seamer if anything

3:07

still a lot of spin efficeincy, if htat makes sense

3:08

Let's compare it to Cam Schlittler, who throws a 94 mph cutter. 80% of Feltner's spin is transverse (contributes directly to backspin). 57% of Schlittler's cutter spin is transverse

so I think Feltner is just kinda somewhere in between. Throwing with a four-seam grip and cutting it just a little, maybe naturally

one way you can tell he's not fully throwing a cutter is that pretty much none of them run arm side

but I agree with you that it's a weirdo pitch

Mr. Redlegs

3:09

That just proves that McGonigle is destined to retire at 30, grow his hair into dreads and live on a boat

joseph falls

3:09

Pale hose Antonacci fun to watch, think he has a touch more XBH in him, Walk rate higher in Minors, Loves to get a HBP, can he keep that up and stay healthy?

Ben Clemens

3:09

I think his HBP rate will go down if he's good

John Church

3:09

How do the run of big contracts signed early in (or even before) a player’s rookie year impact the trade value series? I’d imagine in other years, a Griffin or Emerson might have been a shoo-in for the series, but with the big contracts already signed, they are probably lower, right?

Ben Clemens

3:10

Griffin is gonna be on the list and probably high honestly. He's got a ton of PA of reasonable results at 20 in the majors

and the deal provides a ton of upside still

3:11

but yeah, deals change the calculus for sure

here's one way of thinking about it, though. if the deal made a player a worse 'asset', however you want to considder that

the team would probably try not to offer it

it does definitely mess with the risk reward. and you have to get more worried about eating the downside

3:12

so I think that for less proven players, it's always going to be tricky to manage for the purposes of the trade value series

3:13

but man, I dunno.... I like Konnor Griffin a lot, and 6 years of discounted but uncertain salaries vs. nine years of discounted and certain salaries, where you might take a whack on the last few if he' worse than we thought?

yes to both please

hayz11

3:13

Is Jackson Merrill hurt, or is there something else going on with him? Kind of shocking to see how far he has backslid in such a short amount of time.

Ben Clemens

3:13

no idea but I need to figure out

because he's going to be one of the toughest cases in trade value

JasonT

3:13

The Dbacks rotation strikes me as all #4s and 5s. Sometimes they pitch above that and sometimes they pitch below that. Is it realistic for them to stay in the playoff hunt with this group?

Ben Clemens

3:13

realistic? definitely

yeah, it's like an average rotation overall imo, I'd say it's like a bunch of 4s

3:14

with some 3s

they're pitching SO well though

when they're on

that it's easy to look at the merrill kelly implosions and whatnot and go 'oh okay

like Soroka and E Rod are really cooking, and I want to bet on Gallen bouncing back

I dunno, it's a tricky evaluation for me

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