JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/1/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/1/24

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

3:00

I recognize that this puts me in a strange spot as an evaluator

If you're counting expected WAR, even if you do some non-linear shaped stuff to make avearge players less valuable and stars better, Holliday easily tops Skubal

but I just don't think it plays that way in real life

MilwakeeBeerjays

3:00

It's gotta be feathers right? Jurassic Park, while being one of the the most entertaining movies ever, has pushed the scaled agenda for years. Do your *RESEARCH* people.

Ben Clemens

3:01

Look, it's almost certainly feathers. Just, scales looked so cool in all my kids' books

that said, my theoretical future child will be getting the correct modern-day knowledge from me so that htey don't grow up living a lie like I did

Hunter

3:01

Let's say Spencer Torkelson comes back up after the all star break and basically reproduces his second half from last year (120ish WRC+, 25ish HRs). What would you do with him?

Ben Clemens

3:01

I'd give him another shot but with a really short leash

er, well, no, 25 bombs after the ASB is wild

3:02

he had 19 last year it looks like

I'm.... I'm pretty out on Tork to be honest

3:03

I thought Dan's article about him was very good

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/spencer-torkelson-and-edouard-julien-optio...

Dan

3:03

When a pitcher changes their delivery and to a lessor extent when a hitter changes his swing it surprises me they are as successful as they are. Isn't a large part of why they are successful that they have practice the pitch/swing hundreds of thousands of times? It not like you can just tell a world class athlete (from another sport) how to swing a bat and expect them to be competitive at the MLB level.

Ben Clemens

3:04

I've thought about this a lot

and I think that the key here is that MOST of the things they're doing with the new delivery or swing are the same

and that in fact, the best coaches do a really good job of keeping the important parts consistent

3:06

so like.... maybe you change your arm slot slightly but the swing and the followthrough feel so similar that it's fine

i dunno

I think that elite athletes are good at repeating motions for sure, but they're also adaptable within those motions

J

3:06

If you were given a chance to start a new expansion team what type of skill would you base your team around to try to gain edge?

Ben Clemens

3:07

I think I'd a)spend a lot of time hiring developmenet staff

like, a ton

and b) I'm me, so I'd be on the lookout for the next generation of either Paredes/Schneider types or Betts/JRam types

3:08

like obviously everyone is. but as an expansion team I'd try to spend more of my resources than normal on those guys

I think that from a resource expenditure to possible big league return perspective, there's some juice there

bosoxforlife

3:08

I had an experience in golf with one of my best juniors. He was recruited heavily and went to a top college golf program. Immediately the coach sent him to a new coach and in no time couldn't break 80. True idiocy!

Ben Clemens

3:08

sounds like the new coach wasn't the right one

Okra

3:08

Chances that Strider, Acuna, Olsen all had their career best seasons last year? 80%? 90%? Hurts that Atlanta did not capitalize

Ben Clemens

3:08

blah, I was looking into Strider's long-term projections earlier today

3:09

I think that Olson and Acuna having their best years are pretty likely

just b/c those were AMAZING years

I'm less sold on Strider

the thing is, if he comes back healthy, I think he could easily be '23 Strider

3:10

so I'm gonna say in aggregate, 50%?

like maybe one of those other two spikes a season

but Strider still projects as incredible when healthy

I think he could spike a healthy good season pretty easily

Best year!

3:10

"I think that Olson and Acuna having their best years are pretty likely
"

just b/c those were AMAZING years." I remember that people said this about 2017 Judge

Ben Clemens

3:10

for sure

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat