JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/26/21

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Ben Clemens

3:02

But he's less cooked than the sentient ball of string I was talking about

Guest

3:03

What’s your view of Cavan Biggio going forward? Seems to be a solid super utility guy who isn’t great at any one position but decent enough to be part timer at each corner IF and OF

Ben Clemens

3:03

I kept trying to push Biggio up the list and Kevin (and a lot of other people to be fair) kept saying no

Vacationing in Iceland

3:04

Many names are being tossed about in trade rumors. Which names have the best chance of staying put? Thanks.

Ben Clemens

3:04

Scherzer is my guess

I will change my mind if they can get a top 100 prospect for him

3:05

I just think he's a great Nat, if they're getting whatever rando rental return, why do it?

grover

3:05

You asked for CRAZY trade ideas... Oakland Sells. Bassitt to Toronto for a Groshan's centered package. Manaea to the Mets for a Baty centered deal. Canha to the Brewers for Ethan Small. Would the non-Oakland teams say "Yes"?

Ben Clemens

3:05

Missed this one earlier but now THIS sounds crazy

3:06

I don't think the Brewers would say yes, even though Canha is great. They just seem to love Small-type pitchers

Steve

3:06

If the cubs theoretically trade all 4 (baez, bryant, rizzo, kimbrel), how many top 100 prospects do they get? 0?

Ben Clemens

3:06

I could see 2 if it's in two deals, and they're eating all the money in both

Padres458

3:06

Campusano + Hosmer and 20 million for Scherzer and Hand?

Ben Clemens

3:06

The Nats would not do this deal

3:07

Their future payroll situation is BRUTAL with all the deferrals

And I think that Campusano + Hosmer + 20 million would be a neutral-value package overall

If the Padres could do this, I think they would

I just don't think they can

Chaim Bloom

3:08

I'll just leave this here:

Total WAR (hitting + fielding), as of 7/26
Hernandez/Verdugo/Renfroe 6.8
Betts/JBJ/Benintendi 3.8

Ben Clemens

3:08

So, yes, but this is kind of misleading

In that Benintendi and JBJ have combined to be awful

And Mookie has been his normal wonderful self, give or take being baned up (.374 OBP with a .500 slug is pretty nice)

banged up*

3:09

I don't think that anyone thought giving up on JBJ and Benintendi was the badm ove

Guest

3:09

With Gabriel Moreno being the Jays de-facto top prospect, who would they hypothetically trade him for?

Ben Clemens

3:10

Interesting. Jose Berrios, maybe?

I'm really high on Moreno but I'm also really high on Berrios

Ibrahim

3:10

How accurate do you think run differential is when predicting a team’s future success? Seems like a few blowout games can really skew the number in either direction.

Ben Clemens

3:11

Yeha, not particularly

Probably better than record

But not as good as looking at their underlying statistics or projecting those underlying statistics

LFC Mike

3:11

Ben, As we get set to enter August.. which underperforming players YTD do you think have the best chance to turn it around the last 2 months?

Ben Clemens

3:11

I feel good about Conforto

3:12

Who else? Hm, what about Nelson Cruz

Oh, he's not underperforming?

He's great as always?

This is awkward

3:13

Since I predicted Nelson Cruz's decline last year, he's been worse.... but still great

What a legend

John

3:13

What's fair value for Merrfield? He's cheap but seems like he doesn't have more than a couple more average to above average years left before he drops off given his offensive trends this season

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