JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/26/21

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IMissAcuna

3:32

Did you consider Austin Riley for the trade value series?

Ben Clemens

3:32

Not really, not a consistent enough bat given the defensive value

I like Riley quite a bit

3:33

But not for a guy entering arb next year, to be on the top 50

Chip

3:33

Do you think Yelich gets his power back, or is this high-OBP, no power guy just who he is now?

Ben Clemens

3:34

I don't think he's THIS low power

but I think 2020 is a more reaonable power estimate than 2019

Lando Lakes

3:34

Ben have you public addressed 'Eloy Jimenez not on the trade value series-gate'?

Ben Clemens

3:34

Boy, if that's a gate, we have low standards for gates

3:35

he should have been an HM, we cut the list based on people with AB's this year and no one we talked to thought it was shocking that he wasn't in the 50

Guest

3:35

Any first half strugglers youd bet on a big 2nd half? Belly? Yelich? Lux? someone else i didnt name?

Ben Clemens

3:35

Ugh, I'm out on Bellinger sadly

Yelich, like i said, I think he gets some power back but not all the way

3:36

Lux, sure thing

I just think Bellinger is so lost I'm not willing to bet on it getting better before the offseason

Whit Merrifield

3:36

Do you think I’m on a different team by the end of the week?

Ben Clemens

3:36

I do. I feel like this Mariners smoke is real

Jozy

3:36

If you were the GM of one of the teams in the middle, like the Mariners, Phillies, Reds, etc. Would you lean towards buying or selling?

Ben Clemens

3:37

I'd lean towards buying in general, particularly for the Reds

Trade Turner

3:37

What can Trea Turner fetch in a trade this week?

Ben Clemens

3:37

A top 50 prospect probably, maybe top 100?

Actually, top 50 for sure

I'm not sure where a great fit for him is, maybe NYY?

David Forst

3:38

You’re buying as the Reds for this year? Or next year? Who’s the acquisition that’s going to bump those 12% odds up to something non negligible?

Ben Clemens

3:39

For both. I'm a bit higher on their odds, and I also think they just kind of have to when Winker and Castellanos are mashing so much

I think buying is going to be cheap this year, too

Lots of teams are locked in or out of the playoffs

Now, if the NLW goes on a buying spree, then I think the Reds should sell into it

3:40

But I haven't seen evidence of that happening yet

If they go on a semi-buying spree

Let's say the 3 NLW teams trade for allt he marquee people, but at rates we all consider roughly fair

then the Reds could just sit out

Reds Fan

3:40

Can you give me any hope for Eugenio Suarez? He's been a poor defender even when deployed at 3B this year (to say nothing of SS), and the bat has been ugly.

Ben Clemens

3:41

Sure. When he connects, he's still smashing the ball

And his plate discipline numbers aren't THAT much worse than normal

he's never been a high contact dude

3:42

Still barreling plenty of balls, it's definitely worrying that when he doesn't catch it flush he's hitting it worse

But clearly the bat speed is still there, which is important

Trade Turner

3:43

Houston, where he can upgrade CF this season and replace Correa at SS next year.

Ben Clemens