JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/26

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/26

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

This chat is available to members only. Please log in to participate.

Ben Clemens

2:41

this isn't complicated

if you don't trust the owners to spend, they're not trustworthy regardless of system

if there's a cap in the end, I think it'd have to be pretty different than the cap they're proposing, and it'd have to start iwth a lot bigger share of player revenue

2:42

as in, the average of the last 15 years or something

when the league is saying 'players have never had a lower share of revenue, a cap would be good for them' and simultaneously trying to lock in that cap at a LOWER share of revenue than the current rate that the league admits is an alltime low

well, you can see what it's actually about

Okra

2:43

Do you read the chats of other FG writers?

Ben Clemens

2:43

not never, but not frequently

i spend a lot of time watching and writing about baseball

and a lot of time reading baseball articles

and there's just a limit, you know?

K’d Cavalli

2:43

Ben, I hope you are in a good spot professionally. So many people are using Claude to create nonsensical and unexplainable stuff+ models on twitter now! You may be out of a job soon! (Seriously guys stop making these, they’re unbearable)

Ben Clemens

2:43

haha I have Claude up in a different tab as we speak

for another lab tool

2:44

if there's a long lockout, I might try to write a 'here's how not to use AI' thing

because I find that for turning my ideas into driveable tools, AI is great

and if I try to have it come up with an idea? well, that's not so good

2:45

I don't know if you are in r/sabermetrics, but that subreddit is getting wrecked by these dummies with uninterpretable models

bosoxforlife

2:45

This game is just too cool. With all the flame-throwers blowing everybody away with their 100+ heat, the two leaders in called 3rd strikes are Martin Perez and Ranger Suarez, two of the softest tossers in the game.

Ben Clemens

2:45

i love that Martin Perez is still doing it

Suarez is one of those guys that we'll study later, I tihnk

2:46

like, how was he so good like this for so long with really no obvious explanation

but he is!

cosmichero

2:46

as thanks for answering another annoying cap question, here's an actual question about baseball: how excited should I be for jarlin susanna coming back tomorrow? i'm leaning towards very

Ben Clemens

2:46

like very very very

that trade just keeps coming up roses for the Nats, it's incredible

drplantwrench

2:46

follow up on the neto talk but also generally - i find it unlikely that neto and others will bet traded in the offseason due to the impending fight over the CBA/lockout concerns. am i overthinking it?

Ben Clemens

2:46

I think that the most likely thing that'll happen is no trade type stuff until the lockout ends, and then a burst

lmb2020

2:46

St. Louis also pretty blessed with pitcher health this year--up and down the org, really. They've probably found the bulk of their rotation for next year, like 4 #4/5 types (thought I am very concerned about Liberatore). They have talent percolating, but they need top-end guys next year

Ben Clemens

2:46

yeah, agreed

2:47

that's kind of what I mean in terms of their big-budget item this winter being an ace pitcher type

lot of good stuff going on here

but yeah, the fact that they've had the least IL placements in baseball is masking the average outcome here

which would be worse

Rhetoric Flair

2:47

Would you have included Logan Henderson as part of a package for Skubal?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I don't think I would have just because he was alreayd pitching well in the bigs

2:49

like on the day Skubal was traded, Henderson had posted a 2.57 ERA (3.23 FIP, better xNumbers) in his last four starts

and not that I expect him to keep doing that but the math of adding a Skubal isn't so interesting if you're subtracting a guy you'd like to pitch in October

bosoxforlife

2:49

Would you say the gap between the best catchers in the game and the poorest is larger than at any other position? I have been strongly opposed to the trade but I just walked back off the ledge and accepted that even a lesser version of Rutschman might be worth the price paid.

Ben Clemens

2:49

I definitely would

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat