JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/24

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

2:58

i don't really think so. Cy Young hasn't worked that way in a while

it feels more disconnected from needing to be in the playoffs than MVP b/c it doesn't have 'valuable' in the award title

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:58

On the Chapman opt out question - how many of the pillow contract/opt out dudes do you think end up in the same exact spot next year? (I.e. Chapman, Snell, Monty, etc)

Ben Clemens

2:59

I think Snell is gonna get a bag

teams will look at the dumb stuff they were willing to do to get decent but not great pitchers at this year's deadline

compare that to the opportunity cost of a bad contract 5 years from now

and just gulp and pay up

3:00

like yes, it's bad to be paying 25 million for a pitchder who isn't that good 5 years down the road. Is it worse than giving up two top prospects for 3 months of Yusei Kikuchi?

bosoxforlife

3:00

Since somebody else brought up the White Sox their next 6 games are with the Yankees and Astros which could easily stretch their record to 28-97. It is difficult to come up with a scenario that produces 43 wins.

Ben Clemens

3:00

I'm kinda with you

we're giving them a shocking amount of credit pitching wise, looking through our projections

3:01

24th-best rotation in baseball

which is around 6 spots higher than I'd expect, haha

I suppose if Garrett Crochet pitches 41 more innings (and is basically half their value) it makes a little sense?

Guardcore Clevelander

3:02

Speaking of pitchers who signed late, what happened to Jordan Montgomery that has seen him turn into a pumpkin? Like yes, pitchers who sign late typically underperform, but his ERA nearly doubled.

Ben Clemens

3:02

Yeah.... I mean, I think he's a lot better than his ERA so far

but honestly he's looked awful

3:03

his stuff is worse than ever, his command is quite poor. the rust from starting late really seems to have gotten to him

The Cashman

3:03

The Yankees contractually can void a Cole opt out by picking up an extra year. They already worked that out.

Ben Clemens

3:03

wow look at that

yeah this makes sense

this is the classic opt out fix, why not just put it in writing?

Powder blue jersey enthusiast

3:04

Do you think the Orioles will re-sign/extend Anthony Santander this offseason, and what would a plausible contract look like?

Ben Clemens

3:04

I think there is very little chance they do

it just doesn't fit with their team construction

they've been so precious with their prospects, and so hesitant to extend people (or maybe just not offering market value, who knows) that doing it suddenly here would be weird

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:05

Single most negative defensive fWAR so far is Valdito at -15.4. How much of that is 1B penalty versus messing around at 3B versus genuinely being a terrible defender?

Ben Clemens

3:05

I think you can make an argument that OAA over-penalizes his first base defense

they have him at -9 runs this year, woof

worst in baseball

Phil

3:06

Yeah, but Crochet is not going to pitch 41 more innings, right? He was a reliever six months ago.

Ben Clemens

3:06

yeah I don't really think so but I don't follow the nuances of this stuff as closely as the Roster Resource team does

nats fan

3:06

Enjoying james wood? I'm feeling optimistic about his future!

Ben Clemens

3:06

the thing that really stands out to me about Wood so far is the opposite field homers

where he's late to the ball and just powers it out anyway

3:07

every time, I"m just like wow that's a homer?!

like he's crazy strong

Theo be Praised

3:07

What about the Belli opt-out? Seems kind of 50/50, doesn't it? If he opts-in, is there trade value there?

Ben Clemens

3:08

hmmmmmm

yeah I think it's gonna be pretty close

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat