JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/12/24

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Ben Clemens

3:09

I think that argues that there isn't an overwhelming amount of trade value, in that Iim' not sure whether he'd get more or less money if he opted out and tried to sign a two-year deal right awayl

3:10

but something along the lines of a jumbo Mark Canha deal, where a team trades for him b/c they are more interested in him than the Cubs (who want PCA in center)

and the return is really light, but both teams are happy

Idiotic Failson

3:10

I'm old enough to remember when Yankee fans were asking to trade or demote Judge when he was hitting .207 through the end of April

trophy

1

RH

3:10

Will MLB ever play a game in Taiwan? Or does the political situation make that a nonstarter?

Ben Clemens

3:10

I'm guessing it's a non-starter

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

3:11

The FanGraphs crowd is often enamored with guys with uninspiring raw stuff who are still successful, like Zack Littel. I conjecture that there are more pitchers than position players who fit that mold, which is why Isaac Paredes is so much fun to watch: here's weird even among the set of weird players. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

3:11

I think this is 100% the case

we like weird, and since so much of hitting is reacting to your opponents, it's a lot harder to be sustainably weird

like, hey I'm a hitter with this one weird gimmicky trick

okay, here's a 98 mph fastball

3:12

Paredes is the rare guy who can actually do it

I think that a lot of that is that he's got some Luis Arraez in him, just really elite bat to ball skills

3:13

admittedly, I'm basing this on his minor league track record

but people love Arraez too

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:13

Tyler Fitzgerald can't actually be like a 9 WAR player....can he? (pls say no, thx)

Ben Clemens

3:13

so.... no, but I'm 100% rooting for it to be the case

3:14

it would be hilarious for the Giants to go all in for first Judge and then Ohtani, clearly make that their only priority, and then oops, the next Barry Bonds is actually this skinny utility infielder they had all along

Idiotic Failson

3:15

I have Musgrove in fantasy, and I sort of need innings. Do I trust him vs Pitt coming off the IL? I mean, if I can't I should just cut him, right?

Ben Clemens

3:15

i agree with this. if you're not playing him there, he shouldn't be on your team

colin

3:15

Do you think most of the harder-swinging guys could slow down their swings and make contact like Arraez, and just choose not to?

Ben Clemens

3:15

I do not. I think they could make MORE contact, but he's really an extreme outlier

traced

3:15

Two defensive questions

A long time ago on the book website, the guys were talking about positional adjustment for DH, and mentioned that the DH isn't necessarily adding playing time for the worst defensive player, rather it adds playing time for the 7th or 8th best player on the team that is allowed to slot into starting due to the additional lineup slot. Extrapolating this, wouldn't positional adjustments be at least partially a team adjustment? I saw statcast uses some sort of team runs, maybe for types of shifts, and it feels like the defensive/offense construction puzzle fits better with that.
Is there a secret sauce with the defensive runs component Fangraphs is using now? It used to be aligned with UZR, and now that it uses Statcast it looks like there's a step or two missing. Different park adjustments or something?

Ben Clemens

3:15

1 is something I've thought about a lot over the years

3:16

it's tricky to do in a context-neutral way, like for comparing people across teams

some kind of team-specific replacement level and positional adjustment

3:17

as for 2, it's just Statcast's FRV plus a positional adjustment, I believe

I think we've talked about reformulating positional adjustments a bit this offseason, so I guess watch this space

alright, I'm gonna head out and get working on articles, have a wonderful week everyone

3:18

sorry the Olympics are over :(

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