JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/16/21

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BettsBellingerCaruso

2:54

Who would you start in a WC game - Buehler or Scherzer?

Ben Clemens

2:54

Buehler I guess, but it's tough

I think it's reasonable to defer to the guy who has been there longer and who will stay for longer

B/c there's not a huge difference in projections from here on out

BringBackDeSpanielHair

2:54

Tatis has got to be in the running for NL MVP, no? He's flat out shoving, even with injuries.

Ben Clemens

2:54

He is as well. He's in the within a margin of error group at the top of the league

2:55

But I think if Harper and Tatis have basically the same WAR but hte Phillies win the East

More people will vote for Harper

John B

2:55

Wainwright getting Cy votes ? Lots of innings and other than a couple early season clunkers he’s been lights out

Ben Clemens

2:56

Uh, sadly no.

You only vote 5 slots for Cy Young

Wainwright is 11th in ERA among qualifiers

2:57

You'd have to vote for him over: Walker Buehler, Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes, Zack Wheeler, Max Scherzer, dG, Kevin Gausman

I mean, he'll maybe get a few 5th-place votes

And his season is tremendous!

2:58

If it went 10 deep, he'd get a ton of mid-range votes

But 5 is just tough

dave in slc

2:58

do you do fantasy? in an nl keeper league trying to win and both pitching and hitting are close for me so wondering if Nola $28 and Smith $19 are worth Carlson $10 and Devin Williams $5 and Neris $6? I like Carlson as a keeper and not *sure* if Nola has been or will be good enough down the stretch to warrant the deal. I would replace Carlson w Jace Petersen. Would I lose too much offense and a good keeper or is it worth it?

Ben Clemens

3:00

I'm a Nola skeptic, but if you're less down on him than I am, I think it probably makes sense? Carlson is not a super-huge steal depending on your keeper inflation anyway, and Williams, eh... he's solid, but hopes that he was gonna be another relief unicorn are maybe fading

boobie miles

3:00

Hi Ben, ...Reid Detmers or Casey Mize...higher upside longterm?

Ben Clemens

3:00

Detmers for me

3:01

I'd rather have a 70 curve than a 70 splitter, basically

#1 Flan

3:01

Thoughts on the AL Cy Young race?

Ben Clemens

3:03

It's a weird one

Cole and Lynn are 1/2 in some order right now I'd assume

3:04

You can see Tom Tango's Cy Tracker estimates here if you want:

https://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/CyYoungTracker.py

Mitchell

3:04

Should the Jays feel comfortable offering Robbie Ray a 3/48 deal or is that too rich?

Ben Clemens

3:04

I'd feel comfortable offering it, if that means anything

Roger

3:05

I’d take the splitter. Hitters see it less often. But preference. You think the Angels ever figure it out, or Trout is basically doomed?

Ben Clemens

3:06

Yeah, I think that's kinda baked into the grades, but that's fair. I think it's close either way

Ugh I hate to say it but at this point I'd bet on them never figuring it out

They just.... they've kept not?

Guest

3:06

Jake Meyers came out of no where for a really strong season in AAA. Now the Astros called him up and he's off to a hot start. What are the chances he's the real deal?

Ben Clemens

3:07

I truly don't know what to make of him

3:08

I mean, he was absurd in AAA this year, and it wasn't just BABIP

But his previous minor league numbers don't come close to jumping off the page

3:09

I'll give him 15% odds that he's a real-deal every day starter for a good team

R Eric Reuss

3:09

SPIRIT. ISLAND.

Ben Clemens