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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/16/22

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Ben Clemens

3:08

a center fielder with some speed and some pop but on-base issues is still a wonderful player, particularly if he's as good as he's looked defensively so far

Dan

3:08

Has there been any research conducted that shows if there is a long-term effect to calling up a prospect early (say what Atlanta has done this year with Harris II and Grissom) and then sending them back down if they struggle? I'm sure this is something that is difficult to study since we don't know how their careers would've panned out otherwise

Ben Clemens

3:09

I've never seen any, but it sure sounds interesting

Chilly

3:09

Re: harris dumb question but whats an avg chase rate? Also the league is geared for high fastballs, try and get one by him. Also 0 cs.

Ben Clemens

3:09

Average is about 31%

3:10

he has the 15th-highest rate among hitters with 200 or more PA

no one ahead of him has a better batting line. Only four of the 14 have even an average batting line: Francisco Mejia, Luis Robert, Jorge Alfaro, Tim Anderson

your name

3:11

hall is looking pretty excellent for the phillies. seems to me like this means hoskins wont get resigned. but in general, they've nearly replaced bryce's production. they are a good team!

Ben Clemens

3:11

Hoskins has felt like surplus since the team signed Schwarber and Castellanos,

3:12

I thought that Bohm getting much better at third might be a reprieve for Hoskins b/c neither Castellanos nor Schwarber is a lock to play a good first base (not that Hoskins is either)

3:13

But Hall looks like the real deal so far. The error bars are huge, of course, but he's getting to tremendous power in games

3:14

I'd give him every chance to fail until he actually does

brad penny for your thoughts

3:14

what are your thoughts on flaherty? can/does he make an impact this season? future seasons?

Ben Clemens

3:14

I'd bet against him making an impact this season, he looked kinda scattershot and rusty in his brief ML time

3:15

So getting back to his great form quickly seems hard. That said, I would count on him as someone in the #2 starter area for them for next year, as much as you can count on any pitcher

Guest

3:15

Could things be going any better for the Guardians right now? And is trading Amed Rosario really going to be the best option for the team this winter? He’s been terrific and if they really want to compete next year I don’t think they can expect Arias/Rocchio/Freeman to replicate what he’s done this year.

Ben Clemens

3:16

I personally would not trade Rosario, I think that average-hitting shortstops are really useful, and that as a bonus he's probably their second-best outfielder too despite not being a very good outfielder

I think that the Guardians will trade him, though. They love to trade

3:17

Particularly to keep jamming the 40 man full of fringe contributors

and there will be a real market for someone who hits that well and can credibly play up the middle

Jon

3:17

Are Tim Anderson and Luis Robert the same hitter?

Ben Clemens

3:17

no, they're quite different despite looking kinda similar on the surface

3:18

fun article by Robert Orr on BP about Anderson's strike zone approach:

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/74813/the-crooked-inni...

but basically Anderson might 'chase' a lot but he's swinging at balls where he likes them, where he does the most damage, quite often

his swing decisions look much better in the context of his swingn

3:19

Robert is just a voracious hitter, his approach is maximally aggressive

not quite the same thing

Also Robert has the kind of raw power you mostly see from first baseman

Bob

3:19

O/U 1.5 batting titles for Steven Kwan

Ben Clemens

3:19

U is just so safe, that's a lot of batting titles

Rip Calkin

3:19

Is there any reason to believe that The Wall is being disproportionately helpful to O's pitchers vs visiting pitchers?

Ben Clemens

3:19

Not that I've seen, I'm not gonna say never but there's no clear evidence in my opinion

James

3:20

Which version of Alex Bregman is the real one, the one from April and May, or the June thru today version?

Ben Clemens

3:20

porque no los dos?

Mr. Redlegs

3:20

Thoughts on Jose Barrero? Seems like he's never going to hit the slider and his defense is shaky, but he's got crazy tools.

Ben Clemens

3:21

I think the defense will stabilize, and that he'll hit enough bombs to stomach the breaking ball issues

3:22

alright, thanks for chatting today everyone, and sorry if I didn't get to your question; there were just a ton of really good ones today, including one person who pretended to be a LOT of different GM's while asking me how I went to the bathroom during chats (I don't? I just go before or after like a reasonable person)

have a great week everyone, and let's do this again next week

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