JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

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John

2:30

Thoughts on the Padres being super aggressive on the bases this season? Small sample size, or a new approach?

Ben Clemens

2:30

Small sample

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:31

Who is the Dodgers best high leverage relief pitcher this year? Still Jansen? Graterol? (Lord help us) Baez?

Ben Clemens

2:31

Graterol and Jansen for me

I don't know how to differentiate between them

Long-term obviously Brusdar but short term? Kenley doesn't look broken to me

Moorema1

2:31

I have a modeling question. If you breakdown a model into three things - team batting, opposing SP, opposing bullpen - how would you weight those? I personally think the SP should get most of the weight.

Ben Clemens

2:31

Might be instructive to look at WAR weights

2:32

Which is 57% positoin players 43% pitchers

Ohhhhhhh

N/m re-read your thing

I would weight team batting the most

Then opposing SP

then opposing bullpen

But obviously you need to do weighted distance from average

2:33

so like, facing deGrom is a huge headwind, even if you weight your team more than the pitcher, b/c he's SO much better than average

Think something similar to odds ratio, only not on a binomial

Steve

2:33

What is your long-term outlook on Brendan Rodgers?

Aaron

2:33

In a keep forever league, would you rather have AJ Puk or Brendan Rodgers?

Ben Clemens

2:33

Rodgers on the brian!

brain*

My long-term outlook is that the ROckies will under-use him but that he'll be fine

I'd take Puk, though

2:34

I'm a little skeptical of Rodgers' approach ever floating a true plus bat

I would like to see him walk more, basically

But I don't think he will

John