JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/3/20

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LenFuego

2:23

I kind of like the extra innings rule because I have never thought exhausting two teams’ pitching staffs in an effort to decide a single game was fair, but it seems to me the runner should start on 1st, not 2nd. That helps with the “build an inning” thing, and brings into play stolen bases as a huge factor (exciting!), as well as the runner-erasing double play (exciting!).

Ben Clemens

2:23

Yeah I don't mind that at all

Guest

2:23

So basically Oliver Drake and Nick Anderson will split Saves this year?

Ben Clemens

2:24

Maybe Chaz Roe too? Those three have the highest average entry leverage, though Roe has been bad

But great in FIP!

just bad for, you konw, winning

Three meltdowns already oof

Big Joey

2:24

I'm looking to get a SP/RP (like Pomeranz) who can get holds or saves regularly. I was going to pick up Clippard but he's being used in strange ways. Are you a fan of Felix Pena (LAA) or Blake Taylor (HOU)?

Ben Clemens

2:25

I'm gonna be honest with you -- I'm looking them both up right this minute.

Pena was a totally decent fill-in last year, I remember, but I don't think he's much more than that

Though yeah, good start to the year

2:26

Taylor is more interesting to me, fastball/breaking ball only, decent velo, and the Astros are good at these pop up types

MozeKnows

2:26

The best idea in regards to the extra innings rule I have heard came from Mark DeRosa on TV: Starting the runner on 2nd in the 10th is too much, too odd compared to what we know baseball to be. Push the extra runner starting at 2nd base back to the 12th inning or so. Personally, I will be glad to see the rule go after 2020. There's something enticing and rewarding as a fan about having to work for the runs your team scores

Ben Clemens

2:26

Oh I just totally disagree with this specific version of the take

2:27

Like, the 10th and 11th are fine but the 12th is no good and we should change it?

I wouldn't hate just having ties, wouldn't hate sticking with the new rule, most would like no chnage at all

I just think if we moved it to the 12th it would make games longer

Without getting rid of it completely

Why go halfway?

Sodo Mojo

2:27

We now have a full year of JP Crawford data over 650 ABs he is running a 93 WRC with about 2.8 war. Is this enough data to say this is basically what he is an average SS over the course of a full year?

Ben Clemens

2:28

It is not!

Because he has a lot of minor league data too

That said, the projections think yo'ure not far off

Using that minor league data

So, in the end, yes!

Farhandrew Zaidman

2:28

Is Seager the dark horse for NL MVP this year? Number 1 in the whole league in total hard hit balls, Number 5 in the NL by %.

Ben Clemens

2:28

Deffffffinitely

Hot starts are huge

James

2:29

Only 1 start, but Kershaw's velo actually is higher than last year and got over 50% whiffs from his slider.

92 avg, compared to 90.3 last year and 90.8 in 2018, and he hit 93 a few times, whereas he hasn't hit it ALL SEASON last year

I think there's some case for optimism there that he'd be back to at least his 2017 level, although I don't think we'll see 2012-16 Kershaw ever again

Ben Clemens

2:29

Yeah the velo is really nice

That was the biggest worry about Kershaw, right?

I mean, he's still fragile, his back is still balky

That's been the biggest issue in recent years

But hopefully that's relatively fixed

guest

2:30

Do you think Turnbull has what it takes to be a solid number 3?

Ben Clemens

2:30

Yes

For more of an answer, yes but I'd like to see him develop more fastball command to feel confident in my view

Chris

2:30

Kyle Lewis is still awesome!!

Ben Clemens

2:30

Heck yeah

Fun story in a year light on them

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