JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/7/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/7/23

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Ben Clemens

3:13

It's good life training. "How can this arbitrary and unfair thing be happening to me? It must be something bad I did'

really relatable feeling

Liam

3:13

How much does org development skill vs. just random variance play into how a prospect pans out? obviously impossible to answer, but in terms of teams "whiffing" on guys in drafts... like is it just way more of random progression of an 18 year old than it is some special sauce that the dodgers, astros etc. have?

Ben Clemens

3:14

I think it's both, which is an unsatisfying answer, but I think you have to look at draft hauls in big data sets to really hvae a great idea

the Dodgers/Astros/Cardinals/Rays have done a really good job at getting production out of players they draft in the broad sweep of things, even excluding single players

3:15

but in every individual case, there's huge variance

bb

3:15

17 y/o Ethan Salas putting up an 840 OPS in A ball seems pretty impressive

Ben Clemens

3:15

Yeah underratedly awesome season

I feel like this is somewhat similar to when Jackson Chourio burst onto the scene last year

3:16

worse numbers but a year younger and tougher position

Guest

3:16

say something nice about Juan Soto, who people said mean things about for more than a year. Will he finish opsing over 1000 ? I say yes

Ben Clemens

3:16

Oh man, I love saying nice things about Juan Soto

He's my favorite player to watch in the non-Ohtani division, I just love how he turns an at-bat into theatrics

3:17

also, yes, he's one of the best players in the game and somehow a lightning rod

Pat

3:17

Sometimes going to games when your team is out of it is just more fun..You have no expectations & can just enjoy the game. One of the most fun times I've ever had at a game was with my son, buying 5th row seats behind home plate for $35 at Comerica when Detroit was out of it in September & watching Corey Kluber throw a 2 hitter & dominate a bad Tigers team. Man, against boy stuff

Ben Clemens

3:17

Sometimes, for sure

3:18

I have a lot of good memories of meaningless September baseball

I particularly have this memory, I can't tell you what month last year but second half of the season, where Zac Gallen just carved the Giants up as part of his scoreless streak

delightful to watch

that said... my favorite live baseball experience was Game 5 of the 2012 NLDS between the Nats and Cardinals

3:19

high stakes baseball is also great

Dan

3:19

You have to guess how many WS Ohtani will play in. How much more confidence would you have if you could guess after he signs a new contract verse immediately after this season ends?

Ben Clemens

3:19

a ton more after he signs a new deal, just specifically because of the Dodgers question

RTJ

3:19

speaking of fan experiences - went to the Cubs Braves game yesterday and - besides being delightful as a whole - really enjoyed watching Ronald Acuna race a ballboy to pick up a foul ball while he was waiting on deck. Little things you don't see on TV (probably) and just show how much fun these guys are having

Ben Clemens

3:19

the Braves are always having a ton of fun

3:20

other fun in-person teams for me: DBacks, Rays, Cubs

I'm limited by who I've seen in person this year but I liked all of those

brb

3:21

back

Billy’s Beans

3:21

Now that the A’s stadium has been decided, when will we see TB decide where to play?

Ben Clemens

3:22

"settled"

Tony Plush

3:22

I don't know what the small sample "numbers" say, but eye test-wise Salvy Perez has looked pretty darn competent at 1B!

Ben Clemens

3:22

I don't even remotely believe small sample defensive metrics at first base

he seems decent to me but I've seen like two games worth

slew(Seattle)

3:22

Re: Civale, It almost seems like the Guardians said to themselves: "Well, we've been developing above average starting pitching, so we can count on it continuing to happen - trade him!"

Ben Clemens

3:22

oh 100%

3:23

although you didn't add "Now let's go out and find the best bat-only prospect who doesn't hit for any power"

>this guy<

3:23

In your non-expert or expert opinion, why does it *seem* like so many successful Asian Major League hitters struggle when they come stateside? obviouslty not Ichiro, Matsui, Ohtani, or even SHin Soo Choo I would say. Or to put it differently, why did those guys make hay while Fukudome, Seiya Suzuki, and some others have really not impressed

Ben Clemens

3:23

I'm guessing that it's just random

3:24

you could say the same about draftees from Arizona STate

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