JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/12/22

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Paul

2:59

Dude, to this day I can't see Britton and not start laughing to myself about 2016 (in case not obvious already, not a Baltimore fan). I know this is likely way too hyperbolic having spent like two minutes thinking about it, but has there ever been a more obviously bad managerial decision?

Ben Clemens

3:00

I think leaving Kershaw in against Juan Soto in the 2019 playoffs wasn't great, but yeah, off the top of my head it's the Britton thing

so jWAR does something I like, splitting RA9 and FIP down the middle

3:01

I'll read more about it after this chat but yeah, that's great

Senior Spivey

3:01

It seems as if the D-backs upward trajectory is promising, but how far out are they in terms of (1. time) and (2. pieces).

Ben Clemens

3:02

I'm feeling pretty good about the DBacks, but that's happened to me before. Pieces-wise, I think they need more middle infielders (sorry, Geraldo Perdomo), and their best guys there are probably more 2024 propositions than 2023

3:03

they need more pitching, too, but MadBum is on the books for a while yet and they don't seem like the kind of team to cut losses and go after someone new, so I wonder if they'll just wait for that to improve from within

3:03

The pitcher has used his allotted pick off attempts. How far are you stretching your lead?

Ben Clemens

3:04

I'm VERY excited for this cat-and-mouse game. I think I'd take a slightly exaggerated lead, not absurd but aggressive, and then just go on first movement

Ramos

3:04

How excited should I about about Michael Harris as a fantasy prospect

Ben Clemens

3:05

Oh, quite excited. I have questions about his approach, and he hits more grounders than I'd like, but he makes solid contact and will play everyday given his defense. He should get you some steals, too, which are more valuable in fantasy than IRL. There's a lot to like here

speegal

3:06

Over/under: Next 4 years Seiya Suzuki 115 WRC+?

Ben Clemens

3:07

Ooh, that's a close one. I think I'll take over but good line

The Ghost of Bobby Thigpen

3:07

Is Brandon Nimmo kind of being undervalued as a potential Free Agent? Lefty Bat, average to above average CF (now), high on-base, decent pop? Could he actually get a 9-figure deal?

Ben Clemens

3:08

I'm starting to think this way a bit more. I thought he'd get something in the 4/60 (or 4/70), etc) range and feel underpaid, but I'm starting to think he'll just get more

3:10

For me, it basically comes down to how teams discount the defense

Brewers Hopeful

3:10

Please tell me there's enough time for a comeback, the Cards aren't actually good right? RIGHT?!

Ben Clemens

3:10

nah, it's WC or bust at this point I think

Team quality is nice and all, but being down 8 games is just too many

John b

3:10

Pujols coming back next year?

Ben Clemens

3:11

Nope. I totally buy his assertion that this is his last year. What a way to go out, too. Why mess with it?

Kwanbelievable

3:11

Re: Trout, I have friends that are nominally baseball fans who have no idea who Mike Trout is. This has to be an outlier for a surefire 1st-ballot hall of famer not to have name recognition during his own generation, right?

Ben Clemens

3:13

Yeah, it's a mix of him being a low-key dude, the team being bad, and baseball becoming less popular nationally

Still a great regional game, but if you live on the east coast, you're not watching much Trout

Guest

3:13

I want to see someone with 50 steals by the all star break as pitchers get used to the new rules.

Ben Clemens

3:13

Sadly I don't think this is gonna happen

3:14

It'd be great, I'm rooting for it. But it didn't really happen in the minors, and plenty of the pitchers in the majors next year will hvae been in the minors with the experimental stealing rules

Steals will go up I think

but not THAT much

HappyFunBall

3:14

If you don't know who Mike Trout is, you're not nominally a baseball fan.

I'm not nominally a college football fan. I used to be, but now I really only follow my alma mater. This is who your friends ae

Ben Clemens

3:14

Just depends on what nominally means imo

3:15

Alright everyone, I'm losing steam here, so I'm gonna call it a day and regroup for next week. The rice cooker just beeped, which is as good a sign as any. Have a wonderful time watching sweet home run chases, everyone, and I'll tlak to you again soon

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