JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/23

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Ben Clemens

2:43

Senga turns out to be pretty good!

AL Central Casting

2:44

Doesn't every team (except maybe Atlanta) need to get a little lucky in every series? I guess my question is more along the lines of "Are the Twins a better team now than the odds are giving them, given how different they look compared to earlier in the season?"

Ben Clemens

2:44

Oh.... I don't really think so. I think the odds are being pretty fair to them, in that I don't see any obvious place we're under- or over-rating them

2:45

they have no doubt been playing well, but the playing poorly earlier counts too, and so does the track record of a lot of these guys just being pretty good without being great in past years

there are a lot of not-so-great at-bats to go around in that lineup

Wallner/Farmer/Jeffers/Larnach/Taylor as 5-9 stings a little

and I dunno what their health is gonna look like

Insert Witty Name Here

2:46

Bought some of the Econ books recommended, thanks all. Follow up Q, say I’m a replacement level player in the economy, how could I become a 3 WAR citizen?

Ben Clemens

2:46

Interesting, I guess I'm not uqite sure what you're asking but I think that finding a good high yield savings account and picking the right credit card goes a long way towards maximizing personal finances for most people

Aaron

2:46

Joey still bangs! Joey still bangs… right…? Truly, what is the point of baseball without Joey Votto. It will not be the same.That game yesterday was the first time I have ever been genuinely sad about potentially losing a player…

Ben Clemens

2:46

It's going to be sad

2:48

Someone asked this, but I think the palce he's most likely to go if he comes back is Toronto

that'd be very fun

JR

2:48

RE RE: Let's flip the hypothetical into the real world. Lets say the worst DH is a 135 wRC+, and the best Catcher is 120 wRC+. Who's more valuable? And more importantly, does this situation differ from your hypothetical where every shortstop is better than every left fielder?

Ben Clemens

2:48

well, depends on the defense

the difference in the shortstop example is that presumably that 135 wRC+ shortstop could play LF if he had to

and generally players can move between positions with some loss function

if they couldn't, then I'd get bucketing by positional production more

KC Pain

2:49

Why dont teams rest their starters for a week or two if they have a huge lead in standings when rosters expand? Skip a couple rotation spots and have them fresh for playoffs with some AAA guys.

Ben Clemens

2:49

I think it has to do with keeping them in rhythm

it's a weird unknown to introduce

how good is x pitcher after two weeks off?

I do think that teams should generally give their guys extra rest days, don't push them toooooo hard, etc

but skipping several turns seems like it could be counterproductive

Experience vs Velocity

2:49

Which rotation options would you lean on in October, if you were the Dodgers? The vets with low/dipping velo like Kershaw, Lynn, and Yarbrough. Or the inexperienced flame throwers like Sheehan, Pepiot, Stone, and Grove? Or piggyback the kids after the vets?

Ben Clemens

2:49

I'd go for the piggybacking model I think

that just makes the most sense to me, I'm definitely worried about the vets giving you six consistent innings

Why not Zoidberg

2:50

My favorite old-timey baseball name is Pickles Dillhoefer.

Ben Clemens

2:50

that's definitely a good one

TomBruno23

2:51

Going back to last Monday's chat...our family had a blast at Wainwright's #200 to say the least.

party

1

Ben Clemens

2:51

You love to hear it

Dodgers

2:51

LA would’ve been better off not signing Peralta and Thor, ducking under the tax, and playing more rookies. Heyward out hit Peralta vs righties, Thor wasn’t good, the kids need more experience before the playoffs and they easily took the NL west. Should’ve spent a little less and they might’ve been better off for it

Ben Clemens

2:51

Ah yes, they should have not signed the players who didn't work out

I dunno how they missed that

2:52

In all seriousness, I think that a lot of the idea here was to just throw a lot of noodles at the wall to see what stuck

2:53

those two did not, I'm surprised Peralta is still around tbh

Sorry, just lost internet briefly

tortycraig

2:53

just listened to the episode with Bernie you mentioned - it is funny to think you could get Gilbert for less than a Walker or something similar. lottttta stl commenters have that Burleson for Gilbert trade penciled in already lol

Ben Clemens

2:54

Burleson for anything would be very impressive

Tacoby Bellsbury

2:54

Speaking of Syndergaard, he's an obvious non-roster invitee candidate next year. Where should he go?

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