JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/27/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 9/27/21

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Sandy Alcantara

2:54

Hello Ben, which of my rotation mates do you have pegged for a big season in 2022?

Ben Clemens

2:54

Pablo Lopez

I'm a HUGE believer

I guess we can throw Rogers in there too, but I'm really high on Lopez

stever20

2:54

Will DH be universal next year with new CBA?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I'm gonna say yes

This seems like one that the players' union will end up supporting and the owners will use to avoid some harder concessions

Mrs. Phanatic

2:54

If Fangraphs as a whole were named POBO of the lolMets, how do you think they’d fair after a five year cycle?

Ben Clemens

2:55

I don't think we'd do all that well

Having KG would be a HUGE help, of course

because he knows the mechanics of things

But I think we'd universally be bad at the little things that you have to do well. And none of us have experience running a huge team like that

2:56

I think if you could somehow make some deal where we contributed analysis and had daily sitdowns with an experienced front office person who actually tried to implement our ideas, that'd be one thing

But just us? Nah we'd be bad

Guest

2:56

Can you build a reasonable xERA based on barrels and hard hit %? Plus maybe k% - bb%?

Ben Clemens

2:56

I think you could, though hard hit rate is less interesting to me than barrels and GB%

2:57

I've experimented with it from time to time but I just never got all that comfortable with it and projection systems are good enough that I always give up

>this guy<

2:57

If Fangraphs were running the Mets it would be fun to see the twitter flame war between Dan and the Reds Twitter over chili

Ben Clemens

2:57

Dan and I disagree on chili

2:58

I also disagree with Cincinnati on chili

Appa Yip Yip

2:58

Dan would rage quit within the first month as soon as he was forced to do something that bored him.

Ben Clemens

2:58

We might do better by putting ZiPS in charge. I thikn Dan is just a guy who asks a robot what to do

Mitch

2:58

With so many teams seeking upgrades at SS for 2022 (NYY, MIN, OAK, LAA, DET, PHI, etc.) What do you think about Adalberto Mondesi as a sneaky trade candidate? He seems to be blocked in KC as Lopez, Merrifield, and soon Witt Jr. figure to lock down the MIF

Ben Clemens

2:59

I think the Royals would be looking to move him, but I'm skeptical that he's all that good

What I mean by that is that I'd be fine trading for him as a reclamation project if I weren't trying to make the playoffs next year

Or if I thought I was a few years away

3:00

But counting on him for 650 PA in a playoff race is I think foolhardy given his recent trend

5 Run Homer

3:00

Is Merrifield just a Royal for life? It feels like he's been prospectively on the trade block for four years now

Ben Clemens

3:00

You have to think yes at this poit

point*

The internet rumor community has tried to put Merrifield on the block over and over again

And he just.... never is

Your Name

3:01

Who wants to deal with the big NY market? FG should take over the Rockies

Ben Clemens

3:01

I rated the Rockies GM job a 10 out of 10!

https://www.denverpost.com/2021/07/15/mlb-experts-state-of-rockies-tre...

3:02

that's b/c being any GM is a 10, though

I think it would be a fun and challenging job, but it might just be challenging

Mick

3:02

How do the Giants keep the good times rolling into next year? Hard to count on continued excellence from the older veterans but you also can't discount the team that has, to this point, been the best team in baseball

Ben Clemens

3:03

I think retooling the pitching staff is going to be necessary

The way they built it this year was so heavy on short-term contracts that sometihng needs to be done

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