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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-16-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:16
I think Ramirez. I project them to be very similar in 2019.
Mookie gets a very small edge. No more than $4
hscer
4:17
Brad Johnson
4:17
lel
I feel like national reporters are getting worse at avoiding manipulation
Jordan
4:17
On the playing time question, Josh James could be a beast if he gets a spot in the Astros rotation
Brad Johnson
4:17
Yea, I intentionally ignored pitchers because, well, that shit ain't predictable
4:18
all I can say is there will be a LOT of opportunities, but certain players may not be available to take them
A Random Dude
4:19
Kind of a long question, but hopefully one that people can chime in on.

In Ottoneu, how much is too much to spend on stud keepers? I have Betts and Judge at around $50 each, Trout at $75+, Correa at $40+, and at least 8 others (including pitchers) from $15-30. End of my first season, and I'm not sure how best to allocate my $400 towards players/draft/in-season purchases. Thanks for the awesome chats!
Oh, for my question, about half of the arb $$ are in, so we'll see how they fluctuate. Finished 2nd to last, and $18 are coming my way for now.
Brad Johnson
4:20
I routinely roster my entire starting lineup while leaving something like $17 to fill 14 spots. Spending $1 on a lot players gives you a good shot at finding cheap building blocks.
4:21
ottoneu owners, including my fellow experts, consistently undervalue the importance of elite performance. My model has Mike Trout as worth over $100. Functionally, it's tough to pay that much for him AND field a winning roster. But it should be possible.
4:22
Nobody else's model is that aggressive in valuing elite performance. Given my ottoneu track record, I feel pretty confident I'm correct.
Anyone else have opinions?
Fill in my blank
4:22
Luis Urias is a top _____ 2B in 2019
Brad Johnson
4:23
20? 25?
Urias is the exactly the sort of upside play you want to make a $1 gamble on (12-team mixed)
However, if others want to pay $5 or $7 for the privilege, let 'em
4:24
He's also the kind of player I like to nominate early to watch the bids fly
Spring training should be somewhat informative
But he was overmatched this season
JH
4:24
Muncy at $10 in a fairly shallow, 10-team, mixed league. $260 budget with 25 roster spots, keep 10.
Brad Johnson
4:25
That comes down to your other options for the last keeper spot.
Muncy is keepable at that price, but it's not a must-keep spot in a shallow league
Slurve
4:26
Which team would you guess moves the most players from their current 25 man roster this offseason?  About how many players would/could that be?
Brad Johnson
4:26
I need to think about this a hot minute
4:27
The Rays are always a good bet...
I think the Phillies could get really creative
Maybe the Diamondbacks pump the breaks rather than taking one last shot
4:28
The White Sox are closer to contention than most realize
They could see a lot of turnover via free agent upgrades
4:29
I'm not seeing anybody who's likely to go full Marlins so I'll say maybe 7 or 8 new players at the most. That's still a lot.
But half of those would be relievers
Writing on the Wall
4:29
How worried are you about Kluber next year?  Is his descent graceful or swift and terrible?
Brad Johnson
4:29
I'm not all that worried
4:30
"Bad" Corey Kluber posted a 3.67 ERA with 9.29 K/9 and 1.87 BB/9
I'm not picking him in the first round anymore, but I'd still consider him an ace of some flavor
fwiw, I was never picking him in the first round
Willie hears ya Willie dont care
4:31
What do you make of Nick Kingham, fantasy wise, next season? I like his future outlook overall but what about 2019?
Brad Johnson
4:32
Just a quick peek, I think his fastball doesn't play in the majors at present
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