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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-16-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:47
One of the best parts of ottoneu is that you have things to do over the winter. To that end, I suggest joining an active league with an opening right now so you can participate in the full offseason. Start with just one league. I recommend FGpts roto format.
A Random Dude
4:47
"Pre-arb cuts...
They should read the Ottoneu Arbitration Omnibus
https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/ottoneu-arbitration-omnibus-v/"

I did ;) The arb process is very different and very fun to watch. Really liking the differences of Ottoneu from my other leagues
Davoink Showerhandel
4:47
Do you allocate to pitchers at all in Ottoneu?  I almost never want to allocate to any pitcher because they can blow out any time, but sometimes a $5 Corbin or $10 Nola seems like the right call
Brad Johnson
4:48
Yea, that's my basic approach too. Since they can blow up catastrophically, allocating a dollar to them could just mean giving the owner an extra 50 cents later in the season.
KB
4:49
Re: Ottoneu Keepers.

A big part of it is knowing your league. Do the studs still carry value when they are $50+ or owners steer clear of that lofty price tag. This should also tell you how much they may go for in the next years draft if you were to cut them.

You can always try to trade them in the off season for young talent if you don't want or can't afford them next year.

It comes down to your team plan. One more year to try and win it, or do a big rebuild and try and get cheap controllable assets for a longer window a few years down the road.
Brad Johnson
4:49
I'll add that rebuilding the "traditional" way is extremely difficult in ottoneu because of the arbitration system
Say you load up on prospects and 3 break out
4:50
They get hammered by arb. Next year, 3 more break out. Hammered by arb. By the time you have a full roster, your guys are too expensive.
It's easy to get trapped in a rebuild
Ottaneu
4:50
Your explanation to convince DJ to join an Ottoneu league scared me to death and I'm nowhere closer myself to knowing what is going on with those leagues. Please help
Brad Johnson
4:50
Whelp!
4:51
Well... I guess here's another way to put it. If you really like a lot of quirks to a league and a year-round experience, then ottoneu is for you
It's a high effort format.
And the quirks are very balanced
4:52
There's nothing about the format I consider unfair or heavily advantageous to a certain type of owner
4:53
For example, a 12-team mixed league with insta-waivers highly favors the most active owners
Activity matters in ottoneu, but not for acquiring talent (except insofar as trying to make a lot of trades facilitates actually making trades)
4:54
Instead of waivers, you get 48 hour auctions using the Vickrey method of auctioning (second highest bid +$1)
SparkyMcguffy
4:54
260 budget. 14 team league, 5 keepers. Mike Trout and inflation at 80 bucks or a little more. Keep?
Brad Johnson
4:54
I think so. Depends on your opportunity costs.
4:55
Random bad example, if you're cutting a $5 Jose Ramirez to keep Trout, then you should cut him.
Queens
4:55
What do you with $12 Corey Seager? Hold on until you see some Spring performance or "trade low" to get something for him?
Brad Johnson
4:55
In ottoneu FGpts, he's a must-keep at that price. If you're talking normal roto, that's probably about par value
See what options are out there but don't force a trade
hscer
4:56
Sounds like it's disadvantageous to a low-effort owner!
Brad Johnson
4:57
re:ottoneu, less so than most fantasy formats. Our home league is tougher on low effort owners.
Ghost of Ned Yost
4:57
Im in an old stubborn dynasty league and I've noticed a very exploitable flaw. I let the three leaders know last offseason that they might want to address this but they don't seem particularly worried. Its an injury loop hole and if I do exploit it its going to be rather unfair down the road. I dipped my toe into it in last years auction and it seemed to go unnoticed. Should I just go for it and hope they learn the lesson? I'd hate to mess a old league up but the competitive me likes winning.
Brad Johnson
4:57
Do you think people would protest or just fix the loophole if it were exploited?
4:58
Also, if it confers a long term advantage, maybe your best approach is to use it just enough to benefit the most without breaking the system entirely.
I have to wrap things up on time today, on a tight schedule
Thanks for playing folks, before you go...
5:00
I'd like to plug a mini-ad for my Patreon. In another 35 or 40 patrons, we'll unlock my next "Goal" which involves new monthly fantasy games with $50 in prizes. Could start as soon as November if we hit the goal, although that may be ambitious.
However, if you want Brad-created fantasy games to play over the offseason, you can help me by becoming a patron or recruiting others.
PS - we have a Discord where you can do this with me any time of day
See ya next week folks
Seamus Catuli
5:01
I just got here so old question but Schwarber and Russell could get traded easily imo
Davoink Showerhandel
5:02
Do you target your Ottoneu allocations more heavily toward teams you think are going to be competitive next year or do you just hit the players you think are most deserving regardless of whether they are on a likely contender?
Brad Johnson
5:02
I definitely target owners. Sometimes I'll even ignore a well-constructed roster when I know the owner makes a lot of unforced errors.
A Random Dude
5:02
So, in regards to Ottoneu for new owners: On top of it being my first year doing Otto, it was also my first time doing an auction-style league. In Otto the price you draft guys for stays throughout the whole season and you have to maintain that $400 budget for roster, in-season transactions, and player cuts (which can be reduced throughout the season). I think with most auction leagues, once the draft is over it switches to a FAAB right? So, a key difference, but nothing too difficult. Just another aspect of strategery that can be employed.
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