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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 10-2-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:45
Let's see if he makes a name for himself this postseason
I call him right-handed Max Muncy whenever I have a chance
4:46
Voit is the Matt Olson of 2018, although I don't know that that's enough to hold a spot on the Yanks
Choi... I think has a very tenuous grasp on consistent playing time
He needs a little help from the Rays FO
Rollie's Mustache
4:46
Do you have any idea what projection model Fantrax uses? It seems hyper aggressive in comparison to the ones hosted here at Fangraphs.
Brad Johnson
4:47
No idea. Site projections are often on crack. I think they cheat to extreme optimism.
Peter
4:47
Nola a top 5-6 SP next year? QS league
Brad Johnson
4:48
Smells plausible. I'm a little wary of going that high for somebody at CBP, but it just depends on the cost.
Aaron
4:48
2 rounds into my keeper draft I was offered Arenado and Yelich for Betts and Abreu.  I said No, and rode Betts's performance to regular season victory.  Met the guy with Arenado and Yelich in the finals and lost on the final day of the regular season.
Brad Johnson
4:49
Was a fair offer. Still looks fair depending on the associated costs.
DJ Tanner
4:49
Should baseball create a new stat, QO, for quality outting? Any time a pitcher goes 6+ innings, 3- ER. Would take the place of QS and allow for pitchers who pitch after an Opener to still get a possible QO.
Brad Johnson
4:49
I like it
I will not remember to credit you when I think I spontaneously thought of it on my own in about a month
4:50
I do consider Openers a reason to move back from QS to W
See Yarbrough, Ryan
M's Fan
4:50
Will Raimel Tapia and
will Raimel Tapia and Brandon Lowe get consistent PT next year?
Brad Johnson
4:50
Tapia, probably not. Lowe, probably yes.
These are both very unpredictable FOs. For very different reasons.
The Rockies make inscrutably bad choices.
4:51
There's no reason they shouldn't have won that division by like 10 games
They keep playing half a lineup of scrubs when upgrades are virtually free - both in dollars and prospect juice
4:52
The Rays are so keen to micro every extra play to their benefit that we can never be sure Lowe won't fall into some kind of platoon. Or get stuck in Durham for a time.
Austin Meadows was stuck in Durham...
Todd H.
4:52
What becomes of Raimel Tapia? Thanks.
Brad Johnson
4:53
Honestly, I don't think he's miscast as a fourth or fifth outfielder. The skill set is obviously very interesting for fantasy owners because of Coors Field
4:54
If he does play every day, he has a lot of ways to create value. But he's probably in the 0 to 2 WAR range. And with good veteran OFers costing nothing, I see no reason they wouldn't use Blackmon, Dahl, and a free agent hire. Denard Span would be an amazing choice.
Aaron
4:54
Nimmo finished 6th in MLB in wRC+ among all qualifiers.  In a league with obp and slg about where ought he to be ranked among OF's in 2019?
Brad Johnson
4:55
Talk to Sporer or Mason about rankings, that ain't my gig
however, you do need to remember that his wRC+ looks good because CitiField is hell. You shouldn't really be using it for fantasy analysis
DJ Tanner
4:56
I just took a screenshot of my idea so when you make millions on it, I just want a cut. 5% is fine with me. You have the leverage to target a bigger audience.
Brad Johnson
4:56
Deal
Matt
4:56
One of the main reasons I love my pts league that doesn't use wins/losses as a stat is that there's no baked in penalty for the opener. if anything, guys like Yarbrough provide sneaky value since you can blow past the weekly start cap. Innings get you points no matter where they come from.
Brad Johnson
4:56
Points is an obvious workaround. In fact, ottoneu H2H FGpts hugely rewards Followers
Aaron
4:56
10 teams, keep 6, 6x5 with obp and slg.  I can keep Betts in the first round next year.  How far down the list of the best players in the league would you go before you consider keeping him, pending the random draft order?  To put it into perspective, the guy picking 10th this past year ended up with Rizzo and Donaldson (he finished 8th as a result), and then there was a run on SP's and before you know it things thin out real fast.  My gut tells me I shouldn't use a 1st round pick to keep any player other than Trout if I will have the opportunity to draft another top-10 player.
Brad Johnson
4:59
So... I think I follow this
Betts minus Rizzo-ish minus whoever you'd cut to keep Betts is probably still greater than zero
i.e. keep Betts
Now if you tell me you're cutting a round 25 Soto to keep Betts, that's a different story
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