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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 11-28-2017
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Brad Johnson
3:14
Bundy and Gausman always seem to have a chance to figure it out. Marco Estrada may rebound.
3:15
I'm missing a bunch - it's way too early to worry about draft day bargains just yet.
Davoink Showerhandel
3:15
Keep $55 Votto in 4th year Ottoneu league?  Seems about market value given inflation.  Generally where do you stand on keeping or cutting players that are basically exactly market value?
Brad Johnson
3:15
Keep stars, cut core or less.
3:16
keep/cut depends on your other assets though. It's fine to keep Votto for $55 in a vacuum. Your specific circumstances could lead you to do otherwise.
Stars win ottoneu
Mookie Cookie
3:16
What about Gallo vs Olson?
Brad Johnson
3:17
I'm leaning Gallo.
3:18
They're similar hitters except Olson's K rate is 10 points lower.
So again, he looks a little better in AVG and maybe worse in OBP/OPS
Let's just say I don't buy Olson's 41.4% HR/FB ratio
3:19
Best in the minors was 21.9% - that was last year.
I see him more as a 30 HR guy
with 40+ in a perfect season
Jeff
3:19
How much does final team destination for FAs weigh into keeper decisions? Does $4 Zack Cozart (ottoneu 5x5) make any sense outside Cincinnati?
Brad Johnson
3:19
I think that's fine for that specific example
3:20
A guy like Tyler Chatwood is a good instance of when it could matter
I don't think it'll happen, but it's possible he'll either re-sign with COL or take a swingman-style job
in which case I probably don't pay $4 to keep him
but if the Phillies sign him to be a mid-rotation pitcher, I'll drop the $4.
3:21
It's more relevant for pitchers than hitters
the counterpoint is for fringy power guys (i.e. Cozart) going to San Francisco or Pittsburgh
Peter
3:21
There seems to be a lot of opinions on Hoskins going forward.  How should he be valued in a dynasty format?
Brad Johnson
3:21
Honestly, everybody should be taking a wait-and-see approach
3:22
His owner should be happy to sell him as a 45 HR hitter
buyers should look to pay for 25 HR with a healthy AVG
3:23
obviously, there's a big gap between what buyers and sellers will want, so whoever owns him is probably keeping him
Carlos
3:23
Dynasty format, pick one: Buxton or Mazara?
Brad Johnson
3:23
Buxton
3:24
The steals and the non-trivial power make that easy
Hardly anybody runs AND hits for power
even if it's in a flawed package
And it's not like Mazara is actualized either
Odds Maker
3:24
In standard 5x5, you can keep 2 of Jansen, Willson, Hoskins & Carlos Martinez? My other 5 are Sale, Bum, Bellinger, Rendon, Freeman
Brad Johnson
3:25
I want to say Hoskins and CMart. I'm only confident that it's not Jansen
Mookie Cookie
3:25
Is it fair to say McCullers and Wood showed about the same upside, about same injury concerns, but McCullers will come at a fair sized discount come draft day?
Brad Johnson
3:25
I don't think so
For one, I'm pretty sure everybody likes McCullers more
that's my impression anyway
3:26
McCullers didn't fall off in the same way as Wood - meaning his peripherals weren't as scary flashy red
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