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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 11-28-2017
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Brad Johnson
3:27
That said, they're both injury risks with some borderline ace upside, so I'm fine calling them the same asset class
I'm most likely passing on both on draft day even though I'm a huge fan
BlueBirds
3:27
Am I crazy to think that Robbie Ray has even more to give? Everyone seems to think that he will regress, that this last year was lucky. I understand that he had a low BABIP and a high hard hit% and LOB%, but he was also 2nd in mlb in K/9 (4th in K%) in age 25 year. Looks pretty similar statistically to a young Scherzer
Brad Johnson
3:27
Not crazy
3:28
And the Scherzer comp is spot on - he could take that next step, or he could pull an Arrieta and kind of dwindle back towards average
we're in risk/reward land for Ray
Sandy Ravage
3:28
Let's talk about dynasty leagues for a second: I am in an AL only league that has begun to take a deeper approach (RFAs and UFAs, minor league rosters, no MLB draft) and I feel like playing with one player universe makes a league like this too thin. Would it be best to a) scale back on dynasty aspect or b) expand to all MLB?
Brad Johnson
3:29
If you're going that deep, just play the whole league. The one exception is if you have a really health 10ish team league and don't think you can scale high enough for a mixed league without sacrificing owner quality
3:30
It's kind of fun/funny picking up Vlad Guerrero Jr. as a 15-year-old
Liam Neesons
3:30
in my 14 team H2H pts dynasty, pitching is costing a fortune. Sale just went for 25% of a teams cost, which is asinine to me. Am I just going to have to pony up for good pitchers (by high trade cost or $$) or can I get by streaming week in and week out?
Brad Johnson
3:30
Sounds like you need to zig
or zag
3:31
which is it your rivals are doing? Do the other one.
Seriously though, whenever there's a leaguewide overcommitment of resources to something, it's usually best to figure out another way to win
Dub
3:31
South Jersey represent!
Brad Johnson
3:31
Oh hi
Bobopedia
3:32
in a 30 team dynasty where I can have both for the next 5 years: Gallo or Devers?
Brad Johnson
3:32
Congrats?
Am I reading that right? Keep 'em both
3:33
They're both awesome dynasty assets. If you have to choose, decide if you prefer volatile power or something a little more steady (I'd pick Devers personally).
Vic Romano
3:33
How much regression do you expect for Schoop?  Or is this who he is now?
It's not a true dynasty league, but we can grab prospects before they have played in the bigs if we want, they just have to sit in a standard bench spot, of which we have 5.  Would you hold on to Baby Vladdy and/or Eloy with those conditions?
Brad Johnson
3:34
Small regression for Schoop - between 25 and 35 HR, .265 and .290 AVG, run production subject to role
3:35
Probably only one of the prospects (both are superb growth assets). You need room to manage your MLB roster. Can also pass altogether if you trust your management ability more than prospect development
I usually feel that way
Mark
3:35
Scherzer was built, not born.
Brad Johnson
3:35
Indeed
Mark
3:35
How high you taking Cutch next season? I would like to have a share of him but dont know when to get him
Brad Johnson
3:35
I have not considered selecting Cutch yet. That's something I'll only really consider if he's sitting out there forever
3:36
I don't like guys I can't figure out
And I just don't understand what's going on with him
3:37
Let's try a couple of the queue questions then switch back to present time
Guest
3:37
Who is your biggest deep sleeper this year?
Brad Johnson
3:37
I haven't found him yet.
CamdenWarehouse
3:37
Do you believe in Robert Stephenson's performance post demotion and reentrance into the rotation: 3.30 ERA 59K over 60 IP albeit with a still ugly WHIP?
Brad Johnson
3:37
I believe GABP is going to kill his ratios
Mookie Cookie
3:38
Who will be the most surprising 40+ HR guy next season?
Brad Johnson
3:38
That's tricky because anybody who hit 20+ this year wouldn't be super surprising...
Here's a nice trolly answer - Eric Hosmer
3:39
I know nobody here at -Graphs will see it coming
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