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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 11-28-2017
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Rollie's Mustache
3:53
In a dynasty league with Greg Holland rostered. a) shop him now. b) shop after he lands another closer's gig in free agency. c) hold onto him because he's really good.
Brad Johnson
3:53
Shop him now like he's a closer
Shop him later once he's a closer
Get out before his declining fastball buries him
Rollie's Mustache
3:53
Fantrax seems to have their own projection system but I can't find any info on its methods. It also differs greatly from ones like Steamer in some cases, so I'm curious if I should be taking it seriously.
Brad Johnson
3:53
Honestly... not a clue
3:54
I know nothing about Fantrax except that people have told me to research it (I haven't yet)
Matt
3:54
Do you do your own empirical rankings? If so, do you/how do you adjust for skewed stats like SBs. I feel like high-SB guys (Billy Hamilton) can get highly ranked in z-score methods
Brad Johnson
3:55
I tend to do something different every season. This year, I'm not doing any rankings of any flavor. I'm going to try something only using ADP. Maybe. If it looks like it works :)
Harold
3:55
I have Didi and Simmons to cover SS and MI but am concerned about whether both will keep up 2017 production. Would Peraza be good insurance or replacement if I shopped Didi or Simmons?
Brad Johnson
3:55
Peraza can't replace, but there are worse guys to stuff into a bench/Monday/Thursday role
3:56
He'll at least pad your SB a bit while playing once or twice a week
I tend to like having those sorts of players on my roster - I'm a micro manager. They're also easy cuts when opportunities appear on the wire
Matt
3:56
Re: Cruz/Puig - I tried to simplify to conceptual, apparently not very well though. I was trying to understand how you would balance your fear of Cruz dropping off abruptly next year but being paid below market vs fear of paying Puig way over market if he doesn't get playing time/continued success, but having an option on his success the following year.
Brad Johnson
3:57
I think I'd bet on Cruz's consistency and trust myself to find a replacement in 2019
Davoink Showerhandel
3:57
What do you think of $8 Wacha in FGpts?  His season "felt" mediocre last year, but looks pretty good in retrospect with just a bad babip.  Keep or cut at that price?  (Have room but don't need him by any stretch)
Brad Johnson
3:57
Cut. Can try to redraft for less
should almost certainly go for less
3:58
I'm not a fan anymore personally, but he's in that "could-come-out-of-nowhere" asset class
catchers
3:58
who's going to be a better fantasy performer at catcher next year, Beef Wellington or Wilson Ramos?
Brad Johnson
3:58
I'd go for Castillo
Matt
3:58
You buying into Bauer as a mid-rotation sleeper?
Brad Johnson
3:58
Doesn't sound like he's very sleepy
3:59
The thing about Bauer is that he never stops tinkering
On some guys, that's good
Bauer has tinkered his way out of success in the past
I don't trust him to not do it again
I want to see him pitching well before I buy for more than a $1 or 2
BlueBirds
4:00
Do you think it is actually a good strategy to punt SBs in 6x6 rotisserie league (OPS and QS on top of standard)? It worked very well for me last year as I was 1st or 2nd in ever category except SBs and QS. Can't decide if that was a one year thing (lucked into a late JD and free Judge) or if it is actually a good strategy
Brad Johnson
4:00
Punting is always dangerous, but it can work if your rivals aren't pricing a category correctly
4:01
For example, with SB, if the top guys are overpriced by $15 and the mid-tier guys are over by $15, then you might just want to try a $1 Mallex and bulk on HR and aces
And after last year, that's overpay for SB is going to be a popular meta
Oh hai, Brad
4:01
In a points league, with cost being all the same, and position irrelevant, who do you keep? Willie Calhoun, Gurriel, Beckham or Olson?
Brad Johnson
4:01
Not Beckham
4:02
Probably Olson. Possibly Calhoun if you can keep him a long time under cost
Harold
4:02
As an Ottoneu newbie I've struggled to find good resources to figure out good pricing strategies. What resources do you use to figure out proper pricing of players?
Brad Johnson
4:02
There is an ottoneu community on slack. They have a truly overwhelming quantity of resources available
Ask Vibber for help if you need an invite
Sterling Malory Chris Archer
4:03
With bullpenning a thing now, is there a good stat to replace W or QS in standard roto with the eventual decline of pitchers who go 6IP to qualify for the QS?
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