JotCast | Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 11-28-2017

Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 11-28-2017

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Mookie Cookie

3:39

Thinking about joining an Ottoneu league for the first time this year. Curious as why there is no corner infield spot? Is that due to deep rosters usually use most semi decent CI guys at UTIL?

Brad Johnson

3:40

I think it was a decision to increase the value of middle infielders relative to corner guys. That's especially important for the FGpts format. Otherwise, good SS/2B would cost way less than good 1B

cold stove

3:40

Hello Brad, thanks for chatting! Keep 2 of these guys: Freeman, Bellinger, Betts and Bryant. 14T H2H w/OPS. I love the multi position eligibility of the other dudes, but I can't quit Mookie...

Brad Johnson

3:40

Whoa

3:41

Definitely Betts and definitely not Bellinger

I think you could toss a coin for the other two - they're both back end first round talents

3:41

What's a good strategy to adopt for a keeper league with escalating prices where I have some great players well below market value but to the point where their combined and rising salaries are starting to put a strain on my draft budget? Try to move one or two for a less talented but less costly alternative? Or stick with the big guns and bargain shop elsewhere?

Brad Johnson

3:42

I generally squeeze into a stars and scrubs mode until my roster breaks. When I have the option to buy a full roster pre-draft, I usually take it. Back fill with $1 guys and hope to get a Chris Taylor along the way

Jack

3:42

I have Acuna in a 14 team lead and my SP is Greinke Lester and a bunch of 4th starters. What SP would you seek for The Big Acuna?

Brad Johnson

3:42

Kershaw+ was my ask :)

3:43

Really, it was Kershaw+++ He cost $63 though.

Back to now

Sandy Ravage

3:44

re: Dynasty. Funny you bring up the 15 year old Vlad jr. We had a league wide debate about whether teams should be able to stash non AL players in the hope they get traded over. Is that too wild or a smart way to play when your prospect options are non top 150 guys?

Brad Johnson

3:44

I don't like Only formats so I can't really speak from experience

It does seem like your league has gone in a really weird direction

3:45

I could see making a case for either scenario, my gut says only AL and unaffiliated guys should be stashable.

Vic Romano

3:45

How overdrafted will Tommy Pham be? Last year just screams fluke to me.

Brad Johnson

3:45

...

3:46

I've earned a reputation as a Pham naysayer even though I like him

Every time I point out the Cardinals 30 quality outfielders and tendency to option/bench anybody in a slump, I get shouted down

I'm also leery of high ground ball rate guys

3:47

There are real risks in Pham's profile, but I do think he'll be a good fantasy asset.

Likely to be overdrafted as you point out. There will still be room for profit on a $20 price tag

Even if there's more downside than upside

3:48

So... your decision to draft him is just a matter of how much you like him

he could be Charlie Blackmon all over again - who knows

Matt

3:48

Dynasty league: Do you think an offer based around Nelson Cruz (DH only next year) for 1 year at $24 for Puig for 2 years at $17, $19 is a fair start?

Brad Johnson

3:49

Not enough information. I highlight this to make a general point - all of your dynasty leagues are unique. There's no standard.

So a trade scenario like this could have wildly different "value" based on a ton of factors I don't have access to

3:50

And I generally don't have a good sense of a format until I try it once

So it's better to ask me about concepts than a specific trade scenario

Dub

3:50

7x6 keeper lg (R,HR,TB,RBI,K,SB,OBP X K,QS,W,SV,ERA,WHIP)
Keep 3 of these 4 Bellinger-1B/OF, Jose Ramirez-2B/3B, Lindor, & Scherzer no cost attached to players

Brad Johnson

3:50

Ramirez and Lindor for sure

3:51

If it's keep forever at no cost, probably Bellinger. If there's some sort of cutoff, Scherzer is the better asset next 2 seasons

Matt

3:51

Do you see a middle infield that bets on 2 of these three as a viable strategy entering next season considering all under $5? Elvis Andrus (SS only), Whit Merrifield (2B, OF), Chris Taylor (SS, 2B, OF)

Brad Johnson

3:51

You mean you have all 3 to fill 2 spots? Yea, that's fine

3:52

It's not like Andrus is a bum, he's nearly a premium SS

And I think Taylor will regress, but not enough to lose playing time or value

JD15

3:52

What do you think Bregman is going forward? Star fantasy player (FGPts) or just a solid player

Brad Johnson

3:52

High end of solid. Like a Justin Upton.