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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 12-11-2018
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Brad Johnson
3:53
We'll get started in a few minutes
Mets fans everywhere
3:57
Also, best baseball pun of the offseason is given the Mets track record, they'll try to trade for Realmuto but end up with some fake muto.
John
4:00
Any former MLB players who missed all of 2018 (due to injury or playing out of the country)  that might surprise in 2019? (ala Miles Mikolas or Eric Thames a couple of years ago)
Brad Johnson
4:00
I don't see anybody notable on the radar, heard about a couple return attempts, but they weren't Thames/Mikolas caliber players
Or even Colby Lewis
4:01
I'm browsing 2017 leaderboards for guys who disappeared in 2018. Corey Seager and Dinelson Lamet spring to mind, although that's probably not what you meant.
4:02
Jimmy Nelson
Nelson
4:02
Last week you said that in Ottoneu you try to leave 1.5$ for every open spot heading into the draft. So you mean you youll enter the draft needing 10 players and only have 15-20$ left? You never rely on the draft to get anything more than a 1$ flyer?
Brad Johnson
4:03
I never say never, but it's unusual. Last year in FG Staff 1, I paid up for Adam Eaton and Jackie Bradley Jr. to patch a gap in OFer depth.
4:04
Spending about $30 on those two players wasn't exactly a good use of cash
Would have rather kept a better player for the same amount
Which is why I wind up only drafting $1 players every year
In FG Staff 2 and Screw Cancer, I only took $1 guys
Jackie
4:05
Cutch take and what else will Phillies do this offseason.  Speculate if you must.
Brad Johnson
4:05
Let's knock out Cutch talk
Some initial impressions on the contract: seems fair but also much higher than I expected
4:06
I thought he might go for 1/$20MM or 2/$32MM. Seems to me that if a team had decided to bucket him and Michael Brantley together, waiting out the market should have yielded a one-year contract.
4:07
Since teams not in the Harper/Machado sweepstakes might want to nail down options before bigger budget teams grow desperate, this might help Brantley (and Pollock)
Pollock was always in a good spot as a CF capable guy
4:08
So, I don't think Cutch is overpaid based on the performance, but I also think he could have been cheaper
4:09
On the subject of performance, he hit .253/421/471 in a smallish sample as a Yankee
Yankee Stadium is comparable in park factors to Citizen's Bank
4:10
On the team fit, the Phillies now have a versatile offense.
They have Cutch/Doobie/Quinn as guys who can mix and match at any spot, although you obvious prefer Cutch to not play CF
4:11
Williams would be a frequently used backup right now. Altherr and Kingery in the mix too. I think based on this roster, Altherr has to crush in Spring Training to make the team. He's out of options so that means he's a cut candidate
And it's easier to get Kingery in the lineup without* Altherr around.
4:13
This doesn't 100% mean they're out on Harper, but they basically have to trade Williams if they do sign him. I think it's likely they're fed up with the posturing. This gives them excellent leverage in negotiations. They can still afford to field the top bid but no longer are in a position where they're forced to bid against themselves.
4:14
We'll learn more about their plans re: Harper/Machado this week I suspect
4:15
All four of Happ, Keuchel, Miller, and Britton are rumored to be on the Phillies wish list and could sign by the end of the Meetings. If the Phillies land multiple from this list, I think their offseason shopping will shift to trades and late-winter bargain hunting.
Ok, that's out of the way.
Mets fans everywhere
4:15
Please tell me Syndergard to the Yankees / Realmuto to the Mets is not really happening.
Brad Johnson
4:15
Next big topic.
I find this difficult to swallow as a concept
The Amed Rosario scenario seems likelier, and that would cut out the Yankees.
4:16
I'm filing this under "I'll believe it when I see it." That said, I didn't believe the Cano/Diaz deal would happen.
4:17
The Mets are not a good catcher away from being a good team, but I guess they could delude themselves into thinking that's the case.
Joe
4:17
12 team points H2H league with a heavy bias towards pitching (just 8 starts a week, big bonuses for wins and QS), need to keep 2: Gallo $11, Conforto $14, Wheeler $5. Already keeping Correa, Albies, Buehler, and Clevinger.
Brad Johnson
4:17
Switching to fantasy a moment...
4:18
I would punt this decision until later in the offseason. You're right that these are tough decisions and I do like what we saw from Wheeler. I don't think you can quit Conforto after his second half, and Gallo can carry a week on the HR front.
4:19
Though, you're NOT in a categories league :) so disregard that last note
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