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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 12-11-2018
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Brad Johnson
4:19
I would need to see how Conforto's second half production and a Gallo hot streak compare to 1.25 good starts per week
4:20
What you've described leads me to believe there are some tricky quirks to your league
Inefficiencies to exploit
Band Wagonen
4:20
I wouldn't trade Syndergaard to the Yanks for anything short of Judge Torres and Realmuto.  These stupid Mets....
NotGraphs Revivalist
4:21
Like the Cutch add for Philly, but Segura+McCutchen doesn't seem to address their defensive disaster very well. Think they will improve defensively through player acquisition or through improved analytics?
Brad Johnson
4:21
I dunno about that. Gimme a second to pull up some figures.
4:23
so Hoskins was a -17.4 defender, Cutch was roughly a zero in a OF corner
So that's nearly a 2 win upgrade there
4:24
Their shortstops graded out about neutral. Same for Segura.
So yea, it's about a 2 win upgrade on defense
Matt W
4:24
So as a Thor dynasty owner, should I be hoping he goes to the Bronx? Better offense around him, better medical staff, but worse ballpark. Also, what are the Mets smocking?
Brad Johnson
4:24
We'll get to other topics a little later, I'm going to focus on these right now since they're breaking news
4:25
I don't think I want Thor in AL East ballparks
But you can expect a few extra wins in exchange for more HR
CitiField is practically the best venue for pitchers these days
Yankees Stadium is on the exact opposite end of the spectrum
Biggy
4:26
Isn’t Syndergaard a massive long term health risk?
Brad Johnson
4:26
Yea, but you don't roster an ace for long term purposes anyway
Matt W
4:26
Syndergaard is certifiably Good. Rosario still has potential and has shown flashes, but he's also shown a very severe downside. The Mets' only good prospect also happens to be a SS, one who should be ready later in the season. So unless they know something about Thor we don't, why would they want to trade him more than they want to trade Rosario?
Brad Johnson
4:27
The aforementioned risks associated with pitching
An issue with Thor is that his skill set has gone from unique to commonplace
And I think we saw that reflected in his performance last season
4:28
He has to learn to improve as a pitcher. Unfortunately, he missed most of the time during which his competition (hitters) improved.
So he didn't get to grow with them
Rosario is risky, but he's under club control a long time and hitting prospects rarely disappear due to injury
Joe
4:29
Why wouldn't the Mets keep Thor and just sign Ramos or something?
Brad Johnson
4:29
They're employing a Bold Strategy
Which I'm quite certain is how Van Wagonen got the job
Rick Hahn
4:29
Cutch to the Phils,  looking like they'll pursue Manny harder than Bryce. White Sox seem to have a real shot at Harper, no?
Brad Johnson
4:30
Definitely. Though it really feels like the Dodgers are trying to figure it out. And it's going to be hard for the White Sox to beat them if LA is determined
Casper
4:30
Dynasty team between contending and rebuilding. Is trading Bum for Devers a fair deal?
Brad Johnson
4:31
No, but in the opposite direction. Devers is a far better dynasty asset.
Assuming it's relatively deep
If you're talking 10 team or shallow roster 12 team, then it could favor Bumgarner
Though I'd still probably take Devers and hope for the best
the54effect
4:31
BoSox rumors about trading Xander all smoke designed to up price on Machado, or you think there is real fire there?
Brad Johnson
4:32
I don't think they're intentionally messing with the market. I also think this is one of those classic "we never had that conversation" rumors
Thor-nish trade rumors in my sid
4:32
12 team mixed roto.  Pick two to keep: Paxton, springer and Rhys.  Thanks
Brad Johnson
4:32
I'd take the hitters
4:33
I like Paxton a lot though if you're worried about not having enough pitching. I'd keep Rhys over Springer
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