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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat: 12-11-2018
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the54effect
4:33
Is Wander Franco already the sort of hold on to no matter what (unless a great package comes along) type prospect in a keep forever league, or is it too early for that to hold in a short bench dynasty?
Brad Johnson
4:33
Hold him at least for this season. There's still a chance the hype needs to be adjusted downward.
4:34
But if that doesn't happen, then you have a monster asset
jobu's rum
4:34
Sticking with SD, does a Cobb/Myers contract swap seem to make some sense? Is Cobb even a viable SP anymore?
Brad Johnson
4:34
Not really, Myers is a legit decent player. Cobb flashes viability - kind of like James Shields does at times - but the overall profile is scary
More importantly, the Padres have a LOT of pitchers on staff
YankeesFanatic
4:35
Miguel Andujar leaving New York??
Brad Johnson
4:35
I called this ages ago.
Not at all surprised to find his name in the rumor mill
He's not a Yankees-caliber player - at least not long term
4:36
They're always going to try to upgrade guys like Andujar. But that presupposes they can land Machado
Not Chris Smith
4:36
Hey Brad!  Starting to think about keepers for an early deadline next year.  12 team roto (standard format, weekly lineups), keep 7, $260 budget.  Who are your last 2 keepers between: $25 G. Cole, $29 Blackmon, $5 Villar, $4 Matt Chapman, $4 Tim Anderson?  (my 5 definite-keeps are $34 Betts, $16 JDM, $15 Bryant, $26 Acuna, and $21 Hoskins).
Brad Johnson
4:36
That's... tricky
4:38
My gut instinct is to go with Cole/Blackmon for the more bankable production then try to re-up the others at cheap rates again. Even if you don't get those specific players, the stats should be available in a 12-team weekly
I do like Chapman quite a bit, but if it's not an OBP league, the surplus on $4 might be modest.
Anderson is the easiest cut for me of that group
4:39
He walks a tightrope between decent roto contributor and unplayable. Any extended injury-fueled slump would look like .210/.245/.350
It was nice to see him run more last season though
I haven't helped much on this one, have I?
Chris
4:39
What does a "Build around" mean to you in a fantasy (dynasty) context? Anything beyond being just a stud player?
Brad Johnson
4:40
Somebody who can help you dominate one category or contributes at above average rate to everything
So yea, pretty much only monster players
Biggy
4:40
What do you see McNeils role in Metsland?  3b?
Brad Johnson
4:41
Right now, he's like 20% 2B and as much 3B as he can play without embarrassing the team
I don't think it's 100% out of the question that he might play 2B with Cano mostly at 1B
We don't know how BVW will direct the on-field guys to handle Smith and Alonso
4:42
but past history says the Mets will never intentionally figure out when to use a prospect - they have to be forced into it
Matt
4:43
I'm trying to keep Goldy at $58, which is 27% of my team salary. It's a dynasty league, so salaries are generally suppressed, with the exception of studs...last year Scherzer and Stanton only studs available and went to $60 each. I'm not out of my mind trying to keep Goldy, right?
Brad Johnson
4:43
No, that sounds plausible. I regularly drop a fifth of my budget on Trout in ottoneu.
4:44
You should be mentally prepared to pivot if the opportunity presents itself
Rick Hahn
4:44
What percentage would you give the White Sox of landing one of Machado/Harper?
Brad Johnson
4:44
20?
25
4:45
I suspect they'll basically match the best offer for at least one of them. Whether the player chooses them or another club is another matter
the54effect
4:45
What is Tulo in 2019? Tidbit: He is .1 WAR behind Harold Baines in about half as many plate appearances.
Brad Johnson
4:45
Tulo is probably done as a fantasy relevant player
Matt
4:46
How you feeling about Pivetta next season. Mid rotation help, back of the rotation, or smoldering hot garbage?
Brad Johnson
4:46
I think he's the current version of peak Ricky Nolasco
4:47
Because of his park and some issues with his fastball quality, I suspect he'll underperform his FIP/allow a lot of HR
But the Ks should be there, along with a decent win total
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