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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat 12-19-2017
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Charles Scott
3:35
Do you think Madison Bumgarner bounces back to approach the Big 4, or is he more risk than reward?
Brad Johnson
3:36
I think he'll bounce back. But a fully resurgent Bumgarner probably isn't actually a top 4 pitcher. He went that high in past drafts because he was super healthy, not because his projected ratios justified it.
Nick Castellanos
3:36
Does his rebuilding Tigers team hurt value this year?
Brad Johnson
3:37
He doesn't need any help hurting his value. He's a very unimpressive player.
Matt
3:37
Brad - you have great advice for daily add/transaction leagues.  Do you have any tenets you live by in weekly add/weekly lineup leagues?
Brad Johnson
3:38
Well, ideally, you want to prioritize hitters with an every day role. Pay attention to platoon guys with bad projected matchups. Look for two-start pitchers. Often a Trevor Williams two-start off the waiver wire is more valuable than a lone McCullers outing (or similar).
3:39
If your league is particularly deep, don't be afraid of the best platoon bats. You'll get more out of Matt Joyce than Denard Span
HappyFunBall
3:39
I feel like this is the year to trade away Kershaw go in a keep forever (as draft picks) league. Before the bad back and 140 innings bumps him permanently down to #2 status. Thoughts?
Brad Johnson
3:40
As they say, it's better to sell a year too early than a year too late. There's a reason why I sold him instead of Trout or Goldy in FG Staff Two. Then again, I immediately acquired him when I joined Dave Cameron's Screw Cancer league.
Elite pitchers are always super high risk/reward
Daniel Castro
3:41
How many home runs could I smang if the Rockies finally give me an everyday job?
Brad Johnson
3:41
Why? Where?
5?
2?
3:42
He doesn't hit for any power. Are you sure you mean to ask about Daniel Castro?
Micah
3:42
Noticed that ridiculous 22-player trade the other day in the Devil's Rejects league. Maybe you can help me understand it a little bit. Even if you're happy with the return, what is the logic behind making such a massive swap? Also, why would that one player deal away Buehler, Tatis and others in what was clearly a very lopsided deal?
Brad Johnson
3:42
Hahahaha
I cannot help you to understand this
The guy who clearly won the deal still doesn't have a complete roster, otherwise I would have thrown the biggest tantrum
3:43
Worst trade I've ever seen. Lemme find a link to it for the rest of you
3:44
One owner gave up the best MLB players AND the best MiLB players in the same swap. We have a 28 keeper cap so the extra volume just pushes similar players into the draft.
3:45
I try not to criticize my leaguemates on FanGraphs because I've ruined a couple relationships that way in the past. However, I think is a reap what you sow kind of scenario.
Joe
3:45
Dylan Bundy a sneaky bet for top 30 SP?
Brad Johnson
3:45
Not sneaky so much as a decent long shot gamble
3:46
Does feel like there is more upside in the tank. I doubt he gets there as an Oriole
Their pitchers are cursed
Matt
3:46
Is it just that I'm now in the 8th year of my Dynasty league (and so valuations have reached extremes) or is every bit of talent pretty top heavy relative to a few years ago?
Brad Johnson
3:47
I'm not sure what you're asking but it has the bones of an interesting question. Please rephrase.
KW
3:47
What kind of return could the Royals expect for Scott Alexander.
Brad Johnson
3:47
A couple solid prospects. Makes more sense to trade Herrera and put Alexander into a more prominent setup/closer role. Then trade him at the deadline.
Matt
3:47
Thoughts on Luiz Gohara for 2018? Beyond?
Brad Johnson
3:48
Everyone seems to love him. I get why. I don't have any unique insights. Projections look useful. Downside is bigger than people seem to expect
One last question
3:48
Brad.  Thanks again for your chat.  Mitch Haniger had a lot of hype last year, do you consider a bounceback candidate?
Brad Johnson
3:48
Not even a bounce back really. He played well when healthy
Pickle Rick
3:48
Sell low on Miggy in a league that keeps 240? In a position to contend this year.
Brad Johnson
3:49
I'd sell, just not too low. There's a point where it's better to hope for a dead cat bounce.
3:50
Years ago, I had a failing Prince Fielder. He BABIPd his way into becoming Kendrys, David Robertson, and (Freddy Galvis)
So if you're getting terrible offers, just hang onto him and hope something happens
Brad
3:51
In 12 roto standard 5x5, weekly league, how do you generally compose your pitching staff.
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