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Brad Johnson Baseball Chat 12-19-2017
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Not a Phillies Fan
3:23
Hey Brad, thanks for chatting. Love your insight on both short and long term fantasy baseball. How are you feeling about Gregory Polanco? Can he still be a 25/20 guy with health?
Brad Johnson
3:23
I think that's overshooting things just a tad, but I do expect a big rebound once he's healthy. That may not be early 2018.
A Random Dude
3:24
How worthwhile is it to flip high profile prospects for now assets? I managed to trade for Moncada in 2016, then flipped him and co. (my draft pick he took ended up being Hoskins) for Goldy and Fulmer. Should I consider doing the same with Acuna, Brendan Rodgers, and Rosario? Leaning towards doing this, but keeping Acuna.
Brad Johnson
3:24
I'd also lean towards keeping Acuna. He went for Goldy+Kluber in my 20 team dynasty league. Ask for similar
If someone meets that price, cool.
3:25
If not, convert the not hyper-elite names to MLB talent first
ultimately, it's a matter of what you need. Fill needs, then find proven long term assets, then build up unproven longer term assets
SP Keeper League
3:25
I have Nola, Berrios, Jon Gray and Luis Castillo.   How do you rank these guys?
Brad Johnson
3:26
Nola then the other three are same asset class
Gray is technically best but Coors hurts enough to bump him down a tier or two
Scott
3:26
Where do you rank Chase Anderson and Zack Godley among SPs?
Brad Johnson
3:27
I don't have rankings and I'm planning something completely different this year. Purely using ADP (once it's reliable) plus projected team performance. Picking the best players early then filling category needs.
3:28
I'll write about it in more detail at some point. I don't recommend it unless you have everybody's projections internalized.
Matt
3:28
Godley has an ace inside him? That's an interesting way to cheat at poker.
Brad Johnson
3:28
Ace of Snakes
Desperate, confused Marlins fan
3:28
what are we doing with Verdugo? is Toles going to get in the way?
Brad Johnson
3:29
The Dodgers have embarrassing depth. Still. Something will shake loose. Personally, Verdugo + Kemp to the Phillies smells reasonable to me. Then Kemp+all the cash to the Rays for an extra tidbit. Or maybe Verdugo, Kemp, cash, and Kingery for Archer?
3:30
I'm getting ahead of myself.
The Dodgers aren't actually going to be under the lux cap unless they get someone to eat Kemp though.
Frankie Fourseams
3:30
Ok. Thanks for the answer on McCullers. Is there a better target for "ace upside that hasn't quite clicked yet" in that similar price/ranking range?
Brad Johnson
3:30
Godley
Joe
3:30
Sano at $29 or Gallo at $6 in a points league?
Brad Johnson
3:30
Gallo is too similar to justify the discrepancy
Waldo
3:30
Kopech or Walker Buehler in 2018 and beyond?
Brad Johnson
3:31
Kopech? These are all dart throws. Think about all the recent top pitching prospects.
3:32
That's Thor, Severino, Fulmer, Berrios, Glasnow, Giolito, Reyes, and Urias
How many of them are actually established pitchers?
Which of them hasn't either spent a season injured or completely disappointed in performance?
3:33
The first question is around 3.5 of 7. The second is 0 of 7.
Matt
3:33
Does JP Crawford fall in the "better real prospect than fantasy prospect" category?
Brad Johnson
3:33
Yessir
He could go Lindor though. The MiLB profiles were very similar. JPC has better plate discipline.
3:34
That said, Lindor going Lindor was a low percentage outcome. He was supposed to be more like Simmons.
Not a Phillies Fan
3:34
Hey Brad, any love for Kevin Gausman after his 2nd half last year? Another tease from him or has he legit turned a corner?
Brad Johnson
3:34
I dunno man
That man is a damned tub of rolaids
I'm glad I never quite get shares of him
3:35
I'd plan to sit out the draft unless he's super cheap. Then just pick him up midseason when he has a 6.50 ERA. That's what I keep doing. It works.
Nelson
3:35
do you like or stay away from Joey Gallo. I love him, but his avg is a huge anchor
Brad Johnson
3:35
Both. I try to avoid building around players that actively torpedo categories. If we're talking a late pick, that's one thing. If we looking top 100 or so, I prefer well-rounded production
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